Crimea’s supply route at risk. Day 1581 of the war

Analyses

Analyses of current affairs

• Russia calmly reacts to Trump’s ultimatum on the Ukraine war

• New military support mechanism from the US. Day 1238 of the war

• The Coalition of the Willing on security guarantees for Ukraine: less ambitious, more concrete

• Hungarian-Russian Paks nuclear project: a new breach in Western sanctions

• European Court of Human Rights: Russia responsible for the downing of flight MH17

• France and the United Kingdom: the beginning of bilateral coordination of nuclear deterrence

• Bulgaria joins the eurozone in 2026: a success for the government amid public concerns

• Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act: lower taxes and greater focus on border protection and confrontation with China

Commentaries

In-depth analyses of current affairs

Relative stabilisation: Ukraine’s economy on the threshold of the fifth year of war

A grim reality and a brighter future: Ukrainian public sentiment in the fifth year of the war

OSW update. Hungary election, no. 2

Year four of the war: the front stabilises, negotiations stall

Sometimes it is better not to talk. Pitfalls of potential dialogue between Europe and Russia

Trump’s deportation policy: electoral consequences and social tensions