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OSW Commentary | | Andrzej Kohut

The US budget battle a crucial test for Republicans

… the federal budget for the 2025 fiscal year. The Donald Trump administration’s stated goal is to balance the … strategy.   Tax and spending cuts According to Donald Trump, the fate of the country and the future of … the extension of the tax cuts introduced by the first Trump administration in 2017, as well as deregulation …
OSW Commentary | | Ilona Gizińska

OSW update Hungary election no 2

… press conference with Orbán, Rubio emphasised President Trump’s close personal relationship with the Hungarian … of the parliamentary elections, he underlined that Trump is ‘deeply engaged’ in ensuring Orbán’s success. … in dialogue with Russia. In his opening address, Trump declared firm support for Orbán ahead of the …
OSW Commentary | | Ilona Gizińska

OSW update Hungary election no 3

… its closeness to the Republican Party. Following Donald Trump’s return to the White House, Hungary has become … and Fidesz, as well as on Orbán’s direct contacts with Trump. In the government’s narrative, this relationship … In order to further secure the goodwill of the Trump administration, since 2025 Orbán’s government has …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

… has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20 January 2025 and … due to a two-and-a-half-hour conversation between Trump and Polish President Andrzej Duda, held on 17 April in New York. Shortly after this meeting, Trump posted on social media: “Ukrainian survival and …
OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

The EUs gas market in 2025 Russian gas new US policy and strategic uncertainties

… could also undermine the energy interests of Donald Trump’s administration by reducing European demand for … (most recently driven largely by actions taken by the Trump administration). Throughout most of the 2024/2025 … and exports remains a key priority for Donald Trump. In line with this agenda, one of his …
OSW Commentary | | Paulina Uznańska

Dialogue from a position of strength Chinas EU policy

… weakening international position. The return of Donald Trump to the White House, along with his critical stance … policy. In the short term, it seeks to avert Trump’s creation of a ‘cordon sanitaire against China’. … as the economic pressure from the United States during Trump’s first term – prompted the European Union to …
OSW Commentary | | Jakub Jakóbowski

The US–China trade dispute phase two

… Donald Trump has pursued his strategy of stepping up pressure … of US–China trade exchange (see Appendix). President Trump has already announced that goods imported from … based on seeking spectacular agreements (‘deals’) that Trump had initially adopted is losing ground. This …
OSW Commentary | | Ilona Gizińska

OSW update Hungary election no 5

… spoke highly of Orbán and his relationship with the Trump administration, highlighting their joint efforts … this model. Orbán emphasised that, following Donald Trump’s election, Hungarian-American relations had …
OSW Commentary | | Jakub Jakóbowski

A stalemate in the US–China trade negotiations the tariff war and technology

… during the meeting in December 2018 between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping at the G20 summit in Buenos Aires. … of its total imports from China). According to Donald Trump, this move was a reaction to Beijing’s sudden … and prolonged customs procedures). On 16 May, Donald Trump decided to blacklist the Chinese tech giant Huawei …
OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak

Relative stabilisation Ukraines economy on the threshold of the fifth year of war

… against the dollar, which weakened following Donald Trump’s return to office, but more evident against the … financing of the Ukrainian budget following Donald Trump’s assumption of office as president. Despite this, …