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OSW Commentary | | Piotr Szymański

NATO summit in The Hague Trumps return and a two-component 5 of GDP on defence

The NATO summit in The Hague (24–25 June) – the first chaired by new Secretary General Mark Rutte – was minimalist in both form and content. It concluded with a record-low five-point declaration. This approach to a meeting of NATO heads of…
OSW Commentary | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvias bitter success a state locked in a cycle of polarisation

… who styles himself as a local version of Donald Trump. The weakness and strength of executive power … country, [18] which gained renewed momentum when Donald Trump began his second presidential term in the United … electorate from forming an alliance with the ‘Latvian Trumpists’, fearing a loss of influence over the …
OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

Excessive dependence The growing role of US LNG and oil in the EU market

… trade, and energy policies under President Donald Trump, as well as by certain US actions viewed by the EU … factor is that the key objectives of President Trump’s energy policy include expanding hydrocarbon … pressuring partners into taking actions favoured by the Trump administration, have raised questions about …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

… has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20 January 2025 and … due to a two-and-a-half-hour conversation between Trump and Polish President Andrzej Duda, held on 17 April in New York. Shortly after this meeting, Trump posted on social media: “Ukrainian survival and …
OSW Commentary | | Robert Pszczel

Europes security without America an imperative of the moment or a dangerous idea

… (and its funding). However, at the same time, Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the US presidential election … [1] Various motivations and different concepts Firstly, Trump’s second presidency is already a reality. His … even instead of NATO. The main motivation is fear that Trump’s policies could threaten the Alliance’s cohesion …
OSW Commentary | | Piotr Szymański

Seeking an additional reassurance The EU and France in Estonias security policy

… foreign and security policy that followed when Donald Trump took office. The lack of permanent US military … US military involvement in South-East Asia . Donald Trump’s ‘America First’ is interpreted ambiguously in … organisations such as NATO and the EU. The Trump administration’s image has suffered additionally …
OSW Commentary | | Marek Menkiszak

Sometimes it is better not to talk Pitfalls of potential dialogue between Europe and Russia

… following the reopening of such dialogue by the Trump administration. Consequently, certain internal …
OSW Commentary | | Bartosz Chmielewski

The Kaja Kallas era Estonias high-profile diplomacy

… evolving international landscape following Donald Trump’s return to the US presidency. Tallinn must now … really be trusted’, Kaja Kallas warns ahead of new Trump-Putin call ’, Euronews, 17 March 2025, …
OSW Commentary | | Jakub Graca, Justyna Gotkowska

NATOs nuclear deterrence is it time for change

… nuclear programmes for military purposes in case Donald Trump returns to power and the US withdraws from NATO. … that do not have nuclear weapons, and fear a second Trump presidency or feel vulnerable to Russian nuclear …
OSW Commentary | | Krzysztof Nieczypor

A trusted ally Denmarks involvement in helping Ukraine

… expenditure was also driven by pressure from Donald Trump – first as a presidential candidate and later as …