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Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Jacek Tarociński

Trumps One Big Beautiful Bill Act lower taxes and greater focus on border protection and confrontation with China

On 4 July, President Donald Trump signed a reconciliation bill, concluding months of negotiations in the US Congress over its final form. The legislation enables adjustments to the budget for the ongoing fiscal year and represents a key…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Dębiec

Czech Republic without power lessons from the blackout

Following a power system failure around midday on 4 July, the electricity supply was temporarily cut off to approximately one million consumption points in the Czech Republic – roughly one sixth of the total. The blackout affected six of…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Krzysztof Nieczypor

Shaheds hit Ukrainian recruitment centres Day 1231 of the war

Analyses | | Kamil Całus

The EU–Moldova summit pre-election support for pro-European forces

On 4 July, the first EU–Moldova summit was held in Chișinău. It was attended by the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Council, António Costa, and representatives of the Moldovan…
Analyses | | Miłosz Bartosiewicz

A new opening Russia officially recognises the Taliban regime

On 3 July, Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs accepted the credentials of the Taliban government's representative in Moscow. With this act, Russia became the first country in the world to officially recognise the Islamic Emirate of…
Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Kacper Sienicki, Andrzej Wilk

America First US halts arms deliveries to Ukraine

On 1 July, Politico reported that the Pentagon had halted some deliveries of US weapons to Ukraine. The following day, a Pentagon spokesperson confirmed the report. According to Ukrainian sources, the decision affects all categories of…
Analyses | | Aleksandra Kozaczyńska

The Bundestag adopts a tax relief package for business

The central element of the new investment programme in Germany will be tax incentives for companies. Between 2025 and 2027, these will take the form of declining-balance depreciation of movable fixed assets, and, starting in 2028, a…
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Another stage of the crisis between Baku and Moscow

On 27 June, a brutal police operation in Yekaterinburg, in the Urals, resulted in the deaths of two ethnic Azerbaijanis – Russian citizens (it remains unclear whether they also unofficially retained Azerbaijani citizenship) – who were…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Russians enter Dnipropetrovsk region Day 1224 of the war

Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Armenia a power struggle between the throne and the altar with Russia in the shadows

On 25 June, Armenia’s Investigative Committee announced it had uncovered a plot to overthrow Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and seize power by force.