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Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński

A mutual ceasefire on Victory Day Day 1539 of the war

OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak

High unemployment and labour shortages paradoxes in Ukraines wartime labour market

Even before Russia’s full-scale invasion, the Ukrainian labour market lacked transparency due to the enormous shadow economy, involving as many as 3 million people and generating more than 30% of the country’s GDP. The war has acted as a…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik, Miłosz Bartosiewicz

Ukrainian attacks on Tuapse a threat to Russias fuel sector and the environment

Since mid-April 2026, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have attacked Russian energy infrastructure facilities in Tuapse, Krasnodar Krai, on at least four occasions: 16, 20 and 28 April, and 1 May. These drone strikes triggered prolonged fires…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński

Ukrainian attacks on Russian fuel infrastructure Day 1532 of the war

Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Lidia Gibadło

United States planned reduction of the US military presence in Germany

On 1 May, a spokesperson for the Pentagon announced that the Secretary of Defence (War) had decided to reduce the US military presence in Germany by around 5,000 troops over the next 6 to 12 months, without providing further details.
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Krzysztof Nieczypor, Jacek Tarociński

Russia is expanding the area under its control around Vovchansk Day 1525 of the war

OSW Commentary | | OSW team

Build with Ukraine Kyivs new approach to defence industrial cooperation with European partners

Since mid-2025, Kyiv has intensified its efforts to develop defence industrial cooperation with European countries, focusing on the co-production of weapons, particularly unmanned aerial systems, within EU territory.
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Estonia assessments of the Russian threat cause friction between Tallinn and Kyiv

On 20 April, the Estonian government criticised Ukraine’s information policy, including public speculation about a possible Russian attack on the Baltic states. This followed a suggestion by President Volodymyr Zelensky that Russia was…
Analyses | | Daria Zielińska

A safer alternative growing interest in the Middle Corridor in Central Asia

According to data from Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Transport, over the past seven years the volume of cargo transported through the country via the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (TITR), also known as the Middle Corridor, has…
Analyses | | Sławomir Matuszak

Oil for a loan EU unlocks financial assistance for Ukraine

On 22 April, Slovak Deputy Prime Minister Denisa Saková and Hungary’s MOL oil company confirmed that Ukraine had resumed the transit of Russian oil to Hungary and Slovakia via the southern branch of the Druzhba pipeline. Supplies along…