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Analyses | | Michał Bogusz, Kamil Kłysiński

A courtesy visit with no substance Lukashenka visits Beijing

From 2–4 June, Alyaksandr Lukashenka paid his fifteenth visit to the People’s Republic of China, the first since March 2023. Simultaneously, a Belarusian delegation travelled to Beijing for a meeting of finance ministers and central bank…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Announcements of new Western military support for Ukraine Day 1098 of the war

OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

Despite advances by Russian forces, the third year of full-scale war has not seen a fundamental shift in the military situation. However, it has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Belarus the presidential election is a farce

According to incomplete data from the Central Election Commission (CEC), Alyaksandr Lukashenka secured nearly 87% of the votes in the so-called presidential election on 26 January, while support for the ‘rival candidates’ – Hanna…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Belarus severe sentence imposed on Catholic priest

On 30 December 2024, a court in Minsk sentenced Father Henryk Okolotowicz to 11 years in a high-security penal colony. The trial was held behind closed doors; information about the verdict reached the media through unofficial channels. At…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski

Security above all A revised Belarus–Russia alliance

On 6 December, to commemorate the 25th anniversary of the Treaty on the Establishment of the Union State of Russia and Belarus (Union State), the leaders of the two nations signed a package of ten agreements in Minsk. These included a pact…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński

Tough business in tough times Belarusian exports of potash fertilisers

The extraction of potash salts and their processing into fertilisers have long been hallmarks of Belarusian industrial success. The state-owned company Belaruskali accounted for up to 20% of the global market, relying entirely on domestic…
OSW Report | | Kamil Kłysiński

The collective economy is ineffective. The state of the belarusian agricultural sector

When compared to other sectors of the Belarusian economy, agriculture is most affected by the country’s Soviet heritage. Since Belarus regained independence, large state-owned farms operating on the basis of the former sovkhozes and…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Progressive flanking of Kurakhove Day 985 of the war

Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Kamil Kłysiński

Lithuania accuses the Lukashenka regime of crimes against humanity

On 30 September, officials from the Lithuanian Ministry of Justice submitted a request to the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague on behalf of the Republic of Lithuania to initiate an investigation into the situation in Belarus…