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Analyses |

An informal summit of the Eastern Partnership

… ranking; also among the partner states, Armenia and Azerbaijan sent their deputy foreign ministers. The main …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Armenia between the West and the threat of war

… country’s security in the face of growing pressure from Azerbaijan. Moreover, this state of affairs is compounded by the fact that Russia has supported Azerbaijan’s ambitions to control the transit routes … have been numerous armed incidents on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border (albeit with no fatalities); these …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

EU–Armenia summit more Europe in the Caucasus

… frameworks dominated by it. In September 2022, when Azerbaijan attacked targets within Armenia itself – … Armenia to monitor the situation along the border with Azerbaijan. In February 2023, this was replaced by EUMA … supporting the peace process between Armenia and Azerbaijan under US auspices, as well as the …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki, Karol Wasilewski

Pashinyans historic visit to Turkey – a growing urgency for normalisation

… and the Middle East, and the resolution of the Armenia–Azerbaijan conflict. Pashinyan also met with … but its efforts are constrained by its commitments to Azerbaijan and its limited ability to influence Baku. … the Caucasus – particularly those through Georgia and Azerbaijan, but also those through Armenia. In this …
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota

The archbishops revolt the culmination of anti-government protests in Armenia

… movement was the transfer of four villages in Tavush to Azerbaijan; these villages legally belonged to Azerbaijan but had been controlled by Armenia for over … which include accepting defeat in the conflict with Azerbaijan and its readiness to make major concessions …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Yerevans radical turn in its Nagorno-Karabakh policy

… government was planning to sign a peace agreement with Azerbaijan soon, as “the peace agenda has no alternative … on the future status of Nagorno-Karabakh (within Azerbaijan), but to ensure all rights and security … verbis recognised the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan and stated that the ‘Karabakh issue’ refers …
Analyses | | Aleksandra Jarosiewicz

Elections in Armenia – the burden of the governing partys victory

… the defeat in the so-called ‘Four-Day War’ with Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh in April 2016 and the … for launching the process of normalising relations with Azerbaijan and ease the widespread frustration among the … some of the territories adjacent to Nagorno-Karabakh to Azerbaijan. This scenario is difficult to implement due …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Armenia a non-binding pledge to leave the CSTO

… unequivocally and openly critical since the war with Azerbaijan in the autumn of 2020, and especially since … handover of four villages in Tavush province to Azerbaijan; the protesters have been calling on the … of society. They could also provoke Russia (and/or Azerbaijan) to step up political or military pressure on …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

A serious crisis in Armenian-Russian relations

… subsequently unwilling or unable to respond to Azerbaijani attacks on Armenian positions – not only in … The prospects for Nagorno-Karabakh in a unitary Azerbaijan ’ ). Disillusioned by this stance, Yerevan … ad hoc political assistance in the confrontation with Azerbaijan. The European Union Mission in Armenia (EUMA) …
OSW Commentary | | Maciej Falkowski

From apathy to nationalist mobilisation politics makes a comeback in Armenia

… dimension, the war, which was viewed as Moscow-endorsed Azerbaijani aggression, undermined people’s trust in … a geopolitical deadlock: it is in a state of war with Azerbaijan, has no relations with Turkey and, most … in Armenia’s strength and the ‘organic’ weakness of the Azerbaijani army, based on psychological factors (the …