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Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvia border closure with Belarus emerges as an election campaign issue

On 4 August, Latvian Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs (the centre-right United List) overturned a decision taken by Interior Minister Jānis Dombrava (the nationalist National Alliance) on 31 July reopening the Pāternieki crossing on the…
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvia significant increase in migratory pressure from Belarus

On 13 July, Lithuania’s Minister of the Interior, Martynas Katelynas, proposed the introduction of temporary controls at the border with Latvia in response to a significant increase in the number of migrants entering Lithuania from Belarus…
OSW Commentary | | Marek Menkiszak

Sometimes it is better not to talk Pitfalls of potential dialogue between Europe and Russia

In recent weeks, discussions have intensified regarding the possible resumption of dialogue – including at the highest political level – between the European Union, its Member States, and the Russian Federation. This debate has unfolded in…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Kamil Kłysiński

Belarusian balloons prompt emergency situation in Lithuania

On 9 December, the Lithuanian government declared a nationwide emergency due to the threat to civil security posed by Belarusian smuggling balloons, which have been active for the past two months. These balloons are being directed into…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

The Russians are surrounding Siversk Day 1315 of the war

Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Announcements of new Western military support for Ukraine Day 1098 of the war

OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

Despite advances by Russian forces, the third year of full-scale war has not seen a fundamental shift in the military situation. However, it has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Kamil Kłysiński

Lithuania accuses the Lukashenka regime of crimes against humanity

On 30 September, officials from the Lithuanian Ministry of Justice submitted a request to the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague on behalf of the Republic of Lithuania to initiate an investigation into the situation in Belarus…
OSW Commentary | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Kamil Kłysiński

A difficult legacy Tensions over how to interpret the shared past of Lithuanian and Belarusian peoples

Hostile attitudes towards Belarusians in Lithuania have become more widespread as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine with Belarus’s involvement. This animosity has been further exacerbated by the ongoing debate in the Lithuanian…
Analyses | | Maria Domańska, Piotr Żochowski, Witold Rodkiewicz

Major East–West prisoner exchange

On 1 August, Ankara witnessed the largest prisoner exchange between the US and Russia since the Cold War. The exchange also involved Belarus, Germany, Poland, Norway, and Slovenia.