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Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvian parliamentary election historic victory for the United List

On 3 October, Latvia held an election to its 100-seat parliament, the Saeima, in which the United List (Latvian: Apvienotais saraksts, AS), led by incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, won a decisive victory, securing 41 seats. Latvia…
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvian parliamentary election Prime Minister seeks re-election

The United List (Latvian: Apvienotais saraksts, AS), led by incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, is likely to win the 3 October election to the Saeima, Latvia’s 100-seat unicameral parliament.
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Estonia presidential election in the shadow of a political crisis

On 2 September, parliament elected Ülle Madise President of Estonia. Her candidacy was supported by 71 of the 101 MPs, with 68 votes required for election. Madise will take office on 12 October after being sworn in before the Riigikogu.…
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvia border closure with Belarus emerges as an election campaign issue

On 4 August, Latvian Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs (the centre-right United List) overturned a decision taken by Interior Minister Jānis Dombrava (the nationalist National Alliance) on 31 July reopening the Pāternieki crossing on the…
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvia significant increase in migratory pressure from Belarus

On 13 July, Lithuania’s Minister of the Interior, Martynas Katelynas, proposed the introduction of temporary controls at the border with Latvia in response to a significant increase in the number of migrants entering Lithuania from Belarus…
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvia Andris Kulbergs caretaker government

On 18 May, the Latvian parliament (Saeima) approved the government of Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs (see the Appendix for his biography) in a confidence vote. The new cabinet secured the support of 66 of the 100 MPs, while 25 voted…
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Estonia assessments of the Russian threat cause friction between Tallinn and Kyiv

On 20 April, the Estonian government criticised Ukraine’s information policy, including public speculation about a possible Russian attack on the Baltic states. This followed a suggestion by President Volodymyr Zelensky that Russia was…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Bartosz Chmielewski, Jacek Tarociński

The Baltic states respond to incidents involving Ukrainian drones

On 23 March, a Ukrainian drone crashed near Lake Lavysas in the Varėna district of Lithuania. It likely veered off course during an attack by unmanned aerial vehicles on the Russian oil terminal in Primorsk, as a result of Russian…