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Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

The Coalition of the Willing on security guarantees for Ukraine less ambitious more concrete

On July 10, another meeting of the over 30-member Coalition of the Willing was held in virtual format to discuss post-war security guarantees for Ukraine, including the potential deployment of support forces. This coalition operates under…
Analyses | | Marcin Jędrysiak

European Court of Human Rights Russia responsible for the downing of flight MH17

On 9 July, the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) found Russia responsible for the downing of the Malaysian passenger aircraft MH17 in 2014, as well as for numerous violations of the European Convention on Human Rights in territories of…
Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Jacek Tarociński

Trumps One Big Beautiful Bill Act lower taxes and greater focus on border protection and confrontation with China

On 4 July, President Donald Trump signed a reconciliation bill, concluding months of negotiations in the US Congress over its final form. The legislation enables adjustments to the budget for the ongoing fiscal year and represents a key…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Krzysztof Nieczypor

Shaheds hit Ukrainian recruitment centres Day 1231 of the war

Analyses | | Miłosz Bartosiewicz

A new opening Russia officially recognises the Taliban regime

On 3 July, Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs accepted the credentials of the Taliban government's representative in Moscow. With this act, Russia became the first country in the world to officially recognise the Islamic Emirate of…
Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Kacper Sienicki, Andrzej Wilk

America First US halts arms deliveries to Ukraine

On 1 July, Politico reported that the Pentagon had halted some deliveries of US weapons to Ukraine. The following day, a Pentagon spokesperson confirmed the report. According to Ukrainian sources, the decision affects all categories of…
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Another stage of the crisis between Baku and Moscow

On 27 June, a brutal police operation in Yekaterinburg, in the Urals, resulted in the deaths of two ethnic Azerbaijanis – Russian citizens (it remains unclear whether they also unofficially retained Azerbaijani citizenship) – who were…
OSW Commentary | | Miłosz Bartosiewicz

Poisoned gifts humanitarian and development aid in Russias foreign policy

As the strategic rivalry between Russia and the Western world has intensified, Moscow has increasingly instrumentalised the humanitarian aid it provides in response to crises and disasters as well as its official development assistance (…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Russians enter Dnipropetrovsk region Day 1224 of the war

Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Armenia a power struggle between the throne and the altar with Russia in the shadows

On 25 June, Armenia’s Investigative Committee announced it had uncovered a plot to overthrow Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and seize power by force.