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Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

… House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year … US armament and equipment to their militaries. The Trump administration intends the discontinuation of BSI … and other NATO members on the eastern flank that the Trump administration continues funding the European …
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Lidia Gibadło

United States planned reduction of the US military presence in Germany

… forces in Germany appear to be a response by President Trump to the stance and criticism of European allies … withdraw troops from Germany remains unclear. President Trump presents it as retaliation for criticism of US …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

… has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20 January 2025 and … due to a two-and-a-half-hour conversation between Trump and Polish President Andrzej Duda, held on 17 April in New York. Shortly after this meeting, Trump posted on social media: “Ukrainian survival and …
OSW Commentary | | Robert Pszczel

Europes security without America an imperative of the moment or a dangerous idea

… (and its funding). However, at the same time, Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the US presidential election … [1] Various motivations and different concepts Firstly, Trump’s second presidency is already a reality. His … even instead of NATO. The main motivation is fear that Trump’s policies could threaten the Alliance’s cohesion …
Point of View | | Łukasz Maślanka

The patchwork defence union. Shifts in the EU’s security policy following the Russian invasion of Ukraine

… could shift depending on the policies of the Donald Trump administration. This paper puts forward a …
Analyses | | Maria Domańska, Piotr Żochowski, Witold Rodkiewicz

Major East–West prisoner exchange

… suggested that Moscow would prefer to see Donald Trump as the US leader. This shift may suggest that the Kremlin fears Trump’s unpredictability and is no longer confident that …
OSW Commentary | | Marek Menkiszak

Sometimes it is better not to talk Pitfalls of potential dialogue between Europe and Russia

… following the reopening of such dialogue by the Trump administration. Consequently, certain internal …
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński

Norway more investment in national defence and support for Ukraine

… anniversary summit – especially in view of Donald Trump’s possible victory in the upcoming US presidential …
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

President of Ukraine announces the creation of Assault Forces Day 1308 of the war

… of them. On the same day, Reuters reported that Donald Trump’s administration had approved the first two …
OSW Commentary | | Jakub Graca, Justyna Gotkowska

NATOs nuclear deterrence is it time for change

… nuclear programmes for military purposes in case Donald Trump returns to power and the US withdraws from NATO. … that do not have nuclear weapons, and fear a second Trump presidency or feel vulnerable to Russian nuclear …