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Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Łukasz Maślanka, Marek Menkiszak

Trump escalates dispute over Greenland by targeting European allies with tariffs

… On 17 January, US President Donald Trump announced that he will impose 10% tariffs on … in place until Greenland is sold to the United States. Trump’s move comes in response to the deployment of … it is incapable of defending. In response to President Trump’s decision to impose new tariffs, the ambassadors …
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

… House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year … US armament and equipment to their militaries. The Trump administration intends the discontinuation of BSI … and other NATO members on the eastern flank that the Trump administration continues funding the European …
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

The crisis over Greenland Denmarks response to Trump

… ally, which has escalated over President Donald Trump’s ambitions to take control of Greenland, an … the Kingdom of Denmark. On 15 January, Frederiksen and Trump held a phone conversation which, according to … diplomatic effort, maintaining a firm stance towards Trump while simultaneously expressing support for …
OSW Commentary | | Piotr Szymański

NATO summit in The Hague Trumps return and a two-component 5 of GDP on defence

The NATO summit in The Hague (24–25 June) – the first chaired by new Secretary General Mark Rutte – was minimalist in both form and content. It concluded with a record-low five-point declaration. This approach to a meeting of NATO heads of…
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Lidia Gibadło

United States planned reduction of the US military presence in Germany

… forces in Germany appear to be a response by President Trump to the stance and criticism of European allies … withdraw troops from Germany remains unclear. President Trump presents it as retaliation for criticism of US …
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

US-Denmark-Greenland current state of play and future scenarios

… but failed to resolve the fundamental differences. The Trump administration continues to pursue control over … US has not commented on the meeting; however, President Trump, in a social media post, reiterated his view that … the Greenland odyssey During his first term (2016–20), Trump intensified US engagement in the Arctic. This …
OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

Excessive dependence The growing role of US LNG and oil in the EU market

… trade, and energy policies under President Donald Trump, as well as by certain US actions viewed by the EU … factor is that the key objectives of President Trump’s energy policy include expanding hydrocarbon … pressuring partners into taking actions favoured by the Trump administration, have raised questions about …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

… has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20 January 2025 and … due to a two-and-a-half-hour conversation between Trump and Polish President Andrzej Duda, held on 17 April in New York. Shortly after this meeting, Trump posted on social media: “Ukrainian survival and …
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

Greenland a unity government in Nuuk and the American dream of the Arctic

… in the polar regions, which was initiated during Donald Trump’s first term as president (see ‘ NATO’s polar … the island is unlikely to deliver the results that the Trump administration would like to achieve. In the early … party leaders issued a joint statement condemning Trump’s rhetoric. The following day, large anti-American …
Point of View | | Łukasz Maślanka

The patchwork defence union. Shifts in the EU’s security policy following the Russian invasion of Ukraine

… could shift depending on the policies of the Donald Trump administration. This paper puts forward a …