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OSW Commentary | | Piotr Szymański

NATO summit in The Hague Trumps return and a two-component 5 of GDP on defence

The NATO summit in The Hague (24–25 June) – the first chaired by new Secretary General Mark Rutte – was minimalist in both form and content. It concluded with a record-low five-point declaration. This approach to a meeting of NATO heads of…
OSW Commentary | | Adam Michalski

Turkeys LNG game amid the war in the Middle East

… with Russia and responding to pressure from the Trump administration, which has made the improvement of … was also a direct consequence of pressure from the Trump administration, which has made the resolution of …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

… has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20 January 2025 and … due to a two-and-a-half-hour conversation between Trump and Polish President Andrzej Duda, held on 17 April in New York. Shortly after this meeting, Trump posted on social media: “Ukrainian survival and …
OSW Commentary | | Krzysztof Strachota

Iran in crisis the landscape after the Twelve-Day War

… of relations – a commitment that US President Donald Trump reiterated in Israel’s Knesset on 13 October. … territory along the border with Iran – the so-called Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity … Almost at the same time, last September, President Trump publicly called on the Taliban to ‘return’ the …
OSW Commentary | | Marek Menkiszak

Sometimes it is better not to talk Pitfalls of potential dialogue between Europe and Russia

… following the reopening of such dialogue by the Trump administration. Consequently, certain internal …
OSW Commentary | | Jakub Graca, Justyna Gotkowska

NATOs nuclear deterrence is it time for change

… nuclear programmes for military purposes in case Donald Trump returns to power and the US withdraws from NATO. … that do not have nuclear weapons, and fear a second Trump presidency or feel vulnerable to Russian nuclear …
OSW Commentary | | Krzysztof Strachota, Karol Wasilewski, Marek Matusiak

No prospect for stability internal and regional drivers of the situation in Syria

… US policy towards Syria – particularly during Donald Trump’s first term and, seemingly, also at present – has … United States may prove challenging, especially if the Trump administration remains strongly influenced by …
OSW Commentary | | Miłosz Bartosiewicz

Poisoned gifts humanitarian and development aid in Russias foreign policy

… Fund (and Vladimir Putin’s point of contact with the Trump administration on plans for economic cooperation), …
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Całus, Adam Michalski, Jan Nowinowski, Jacek Tarociński

Romania Bulgaria and Turkey in the Black Sea region increased cooperation

… US military presence in Europe, as signalled by Donald Trump’s administration, could have significant …