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Analyses | | Łukasz Maślanka

The E3 and the EU in response to the attack on Iran reluctantly aligned with the US

Europe’s largest countries have declined to join the initial phase of the US-Israeli strikes against Iran. However, they have condemned the Islamic Republic’s disproportionate and ‘indiscriminate’ retaliatory campaign targeting countries…
Analyses | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

Suspension of LNG exports from Qatar – the spectre of another gas crisis

The US-Israeli attack on Iran and its regional repercussions have significantly affected global energy markets, most notably the gas market. On 2 March, Qatar, the world’s third-largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, announced a…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Mutual attacks on border energy infrastructure Day 1322 of the war

Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

The Russians are surrounding Siversk Day 1315 of the war

Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

On 5 September, citing an anonymous White House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year 2026 (1 October 2025 – 30 September 2026) does not envisage continued funding for the…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Announcements of new Western military support for Ukraine Day 1098 of the war

Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński

NATO brigades in the Baltic states new chapters in the long march toward deployment

On 17 October, the defence ministers of Estonia and the United Kingdom signed a bilateral defence roadmap, outlining steps to further enhance the British military presence in Estonia. From July 2025, the UK will maintain a light brigade on…
Analyses | | Maria Domańska, Piotr Żochowski, Witold Rodkiewicz

Major East–West prisoner exchange

On 1 August, Ankara witnessed the largest prisoner exchange between the US and Russia since the Cold War. The exchange also involved Belarus, Germany, Poland, Norway, and Slovenia.
Analyses | | Justyna Gotkowska, Jakub Graca

The German Brigade Lithuania

On 18 December in Vilnius, Boris Pistorius and Arvydas Anušauskas, the defence ministers of Germany and Lithuania, signed the so-called roadmap for the deployment of a German brigade in Lithuania (‘Brigade Lithuania’). Its headquarters…
Analyses | | Michał Kędzierski

Germany a huge contract for Norwegian gas

On 19 December 2023, Securing Energy for Europe (SEFE), a German state-controlled gas company, signed a long-term contract with the Norwegian Equinor energy company to supply 111 TWh of gas annually in the period from 2024 to 2034 (which…