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Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

Ankara summit Europes mobilisation for NATO 30

At the NATO summit in Ankara (7–8 July), Europe and Canada presented President Donald Trump with a significant increase in defence spending, new military procurements and industrial investments. They also expressed their readiness to…
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

NATO 30 from burden sharing to burden shifting and the Europeanisation of the Alliance

In 2026, changes in transatlantic relations ushered NATO into a period of restructuring. As part of the US concept of NATO 3.0, Washington announced a significant reduction in its military contribution to NATO’s defence plans for Europe in…
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Lidia Gibadło

United States planned reduction of the US military presence in Germany

On 1 May, a spokesperson for the Pentagon announced that the Secretary of Defence (War) had decided to reduce the US military presence in Germany by around 5,000 troops over the next 6 to 12 months, without providing further details.
Analyses | | Łukasz Maślanka

The E3 and the EU in response to the attack on Iran reluctantly aligned with the US

Europe’s largest countries have declined to join the initial phase of the US-Israeli strikes against Iran. However, they have condemned the Islamic Republic’s disproportionate and ‘indiscriminate’ retaliatory campaign targeting countries…
Analyses | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

Suspension of LNG exports from Qatar – the spectre of another gas crisis

The US-Israeli attack on Iran and its regional repercussions have significantly affected global energy markets, most notably the gas market. On 2 March, Qatar, the world’s third-largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, announced a…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Mutual attacks on border energy infrastructure Day 1322 of the war

Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

On 5 September, citing an anonymous White House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year 2026 (1 October 2025 – 30 September 2026) does not envisage continued funding for the…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Announcements of new Western military support for Ukraine Day 1098 of the war

Analyses | | Maria Domańska, Piotr Żochowski, Witold Rodkiewicz

Major East–West prisoner exchange

On 1 August, Ankara witnessed the largest prisoner exchange between the US and Russia since the Cold War. The exchange also involved Belarus, Germany, Poland, Norway, and Slovenia.
Analyses | | Michał Kędzierski

Germany a huge contract for Norwegian gas

On 19 December 2023, Securing Energy for Europe (SEFE), a German state-controlled gas company, signed a long-term contract with the Norwegian Equinor energy company to supply 111 TWh of gas annually in the period from 2024 to 2034 (which…