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Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

A new stage of the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh

… Azerbaijani and Armenian forces have been engaged in intense clashes … recognition that in practice has close links with Armenia on many levels). The Azerbaijani forces managed … of the pandemic ). Mobilisation was announced in Armenia and the NKR (and partly in Azerbaijan, where …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Nagorno-Karabakh tensions escalating with turbulent diplomacy in the background

… shelled 12 times, and a further 10 on 7 August (the Armenian side – both Yerevan and the separatists – … time, consultations took place between the leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan with the President of the European Council and the US Secretary of State (the Armenian Prime Minister also talked to the Russian …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Górecki

The EUs ambivalent neighbours Brussels on the South Caucasus

… infighting in Georgia and in mediation between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and enhanced its economic … Georgia’s integration with the EU. Negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan have lost momentum, and another … violations and electoral irregularities in Georgia. [4] Armenia, for its part, opted not to sign an association …
Analyses |

An informal summit of the Eastern Partnership

… ministerial ranking; also among the partner states, Armenia and Azerbaijan sent their deputy foreign …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki, Krzysztof Strachota

Irans president visits Baku seeking de-escalation

… diverged. For example, Iran has traditionally supported Armenia in its conflict with Baku and cooperated closely … of renewed military conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia (namely, the potential armed seizure of the Zangezur corridor by Azerbaijan, which would cut Armenia off from Iran). Two weeks prior to the meeting, …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Górecki

Azerbaijan in 2024 dizzy with success

… of an external threat. The long-lasting conflict with Armenia also had important social (the influx of … would benefit it. At the same time, unlike Georgia and Armenia, it has stayed out of political blocs, showing … Aliyev’s popularity is genuinely very high. Azerbaijan-Armenia: peace on the former’s terms Although Azerbaijan …
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota, Miłosz Bartosiewicz

Putin visits Baku a partnership of convenience

… of regulating the conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia, it advocated the development of the … cooperation with the West and effectively marginalised Armenia, which until recently was Russia’s ally. A string of military successes in its conflict with Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh in 2020–3 has enabled it …

In the clutches of the Kremlin Azerbaijans security policy

… and the territories around it which had been lost to Armenia in the war in 1991–1994 [2] . At the same time, … viewed as a potential threat. Since the Kremlin backed Armenia in the war over Nagorno-Karabakh, … [3] (after its attempt to normalise relations with Armenia in 2008–2009). However, it was only in the past …
Analyses |

Azerbaijan arms itself

… (US$16bn), and is bigger than the whole budget of Armenia (US$2.8bn). Baku, which more than once in recent … the army, it is a constant element of pressure on Armenia, as well as on the mediators from the so-called …
OSW Commentary | | Aleksandra Jarosiewicz

Azerbaijan – a growing problem for the West

… to secure Azerbaijan against Russia, which supports Armenia. Baku lost Nagorno-Karabakh and the adjacent territories to Armenia as a result of the still unresolved conflict … the ‘arms race’ in the Caucasus: in the meantime Armenia also began to develop its military potential …