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Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Nagorno-Karabakh tensions escalating with turbulent diplomacy in the background

… conflict area has further escalated. On 3 August, an Azerbaijani soldier was killed in an exchange of fire; … were wounded) during a retaliatory operation by Baku. Azerbaijani forces also allegedly seized three … but its intensity gradually decreased. On 4 August, Azerbaijani positions were said to have been shelled 12 …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

A new stage of the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh

… Azerbaijani and Armenian forces have been engaged in … seen along the entire line of contact that separates Azerbaijan-controlled areas from the separatist … has close links with Armenia on many levels). The Azerbaijani forces managed to seize a few towns and, …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Nagorno-Karabakh positional warfare begins

… The intensive fighting between Azerbaijani and Armenian forces, initiated by Baku on … separatist Nagorno-Karabakh Republic (NKR). After Azerbaijan’s initial successes – the capture of seven … regained some of the positions they lost, although the Azerbaijani side has denied this claim. The town of …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Górecki

The EUs ambivalent neighbours Brussels on the South Caucasus

… in Georgia and in mediation between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and enhanced its economic relations with the … with the EU. Negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan have lost momentum, and another war between … a framework partnership agreement with the EU. [5] Azerbaijan was also not interested in an association …
Analyses |

An informal summit of the Eastern Partnership

… ranking; also among the partner states, Armenia and Azerbaijan sent their deputy foreign ministers. The main …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Armenia between the West and the threat of war

… country’s security in the face of growing pressure from Azerbaijan. Moreover, this state of affairs is compounded by the fact that Russia has supported Azerbaijan’s ambitions to control the transit routes … have been numerous armed incidents on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border (albeit with no fatalities); these …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki, Karol Wasilewski

Pashinyans historic visit to Turkey – a growing urgency for normalisation

… and the Middle East, and the resolution of the Armenia–Azerbaijan conflict. Pashinyan also met with … but its efforts are constrained by its commitments to Azerbaijan and its limited ability to influence Baku. … the Caucasus – particularly those through Georgia and Azerbaijan, but also those through Armenia. In this …
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota

The archbishops revolt the culmination of anti-government protests in Armenia

… movement was the transfer of four villages in Tavush to Azerbaijan; these villages legally belonged to Azerbaijan but had been controlled by Armenia for over … which include accepting defeat in the conflict with Azerbaijan and its readiness to make major concessions …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Yerevans radical turn in its Nagorno-Karabakh policy

… government was planning to sign a peace agreement with Azerbaijan soon, as “the peace agenda has no alternative … on the future status of Nagorno-Karabakh (within Azerbaijan), but to ensure all rights and security … verbis recognised the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan and stated that the ‘Karabakh issue’ refers …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Armenia a non-binding pledge to leave the CSTO

… unequivocally and openly critical since the war with Azerbaijan in the autumn of 2020, and especially since … handover of four villages in Tavush province to Azerbaijan; the protesters have been calling on the … of society. They could also provoke Russia (and/or Azerbaijan) to step up political or military pressure on …