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Analyses | 
 | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Jadwiga Rogoża, Sławomir Matuszak
     Russian troops continue to shell and attempt to take control of the border areas of Chernihiv (Mykolaivka), Sumy (including Esman, Zaruts’ke, Pavlivka, Volfyne, Yastrubyne, Zhuravka) and Kharkiv oblasts (Kharkiv and towns to the north,…
Analyses | 
 | Iwona Wiśniewska
     In recent weeks, Russia has introduced further legal changes to adapt its economy to the needs of the war in Ukraine. This includes a law which has been passed on special economic measures to support the Russian armed forces during “…
Analyses | 
 | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Jadwiga Rogoża, Sławomir Matuszak
     Russian troops regularly shell border towns in the Chernihiv, Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts. These are preceded by intelligence activities carried out, among others, using Orlan-10 drones. Particularly intensive shelling has taken place in…
Analyses | 
 | Marek Menkiszak
     On 11 July, in line with previous announcements and annual practice, Gazprom stopped gas deliveries to European customers via the Nord Stream 1 (NS1) pipeline, which runs from Russia to Germany along the Baltic Sea bed. 
Analyses | 
 | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein
     On 13 July the European Commission (EC) presented new guidance on the transit of goods through EU territory to and from the Kaliningrad oblast. They oblige EC countries to resume the transit of sanctioned goods to this Russian exclave.…
Analyses | 
 | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jadwiga Rogoża
     Russian forces continue to advance southwest of Lysychansk (in the Vovchoyarivka–Verkhn’okam’yanka area), while they have been halted on the western side of the ‘road of life’ (near the village of Spirne). Fighting is ongoing on the…
OSW Commentary | 
 | Piotr Żochowski, Krzysztof Nieczypor
     Russia was forced to modify its plan after its military operation in Ukraine failed. The original intention was the rapid political subjugation of Ukraine. The new plan involves Russia consolidating its position in the territories that it…
Analyses | 
 | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Krzysztof Nieczypor
     During the night, Ukrainian forces began withdrawing from Sievierodonetsk and crossed the Donets River under fire to Lysychansk (the bridges connecting the two cities were destroyed, and there is no possibility of retreat in the other…
Analyses | 
 | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Sławomir Matuszak
     Fighting continues for the Azot plant, the last point of Ukrainian resistance in Sievierodonetsk. The defenders are repelling Russian attacks on the southern outskirts of the city (Syrotyne), on both sides of the road connecting Hirske…
Analyses | 
 | Szymon Kardaś
     In May, the Russian Ministry of Economic Development published a new, updated forecast for the production and export of Russian energy resources. It shows that LNG supplies to third countries will be much lower than previously assumed over…