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Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Witold Rodkiewicz, Kamil Kłysiński

Nuclear force exercises in Russia and Belarus

On 19–21 May, the Russian Armed Forces conducted comprehensive exercises involving both components of the country’s nuclear forces – strategic and tactical. The drills included the joint preparation and simulated use of tactical nuclear…
Analyses | | Michał Bogusz, Witold Rodkiewicz

No change in course the Sino-Russian summit in Beijing

On 19–20 May, Vladimir Putin paid a state visit to China to mark the anniversary of the 2001 Treaty of Good-Neighbourliness and Friendly Cooperation. The two sides extended the treaty for a further five years and held a series of meetings…
Analyses | | Daria Zielińska

The boom in virtual assets in Kyrgyzstan – sanctions as a driver of growth

In 2025, Kyrgyzstan became Central Asia’s leading virtual currency market. According to official data, transactions involving virtual currencies exceeded $31 billion, three times more than in 2024 and far above the country’s nominal GDP.…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński

Mutual escalation of air strikes Day 1546 of the war

Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński

A mutual ceasefire on Victory Day Day 1539 of the war

Analyses | | Filip Rudnik, Miłosz Bartosiewicz

Ukrainian attacks on Tuapse a threat to Russias fuel sector and the environment

Since mid-April 2026, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have attacked Russian energy infrastructure facilities in Tuapse, Krasnodar Krai, on at least four occasions: 16, 20 and 28 April, and 1 May. These drone strikes triggered prolonged fires…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński

Ukrainian attacks on Russian fuel infrastructure Day 1532 of the war

Analyses | | Witold Rodkiewicz

Putin–Trump phone call no shift in either sides position

On 29 April, at Russia’s initiative, Vladimir Putin held a 90-minute phone call with Donald Trump. The US president said the conversation was “very good”, while Putin’s adviser Yuri Ushakov described it as “friendly, open and businesslike”.
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Krzysztof Nieczypor, Jacek Tarociński

Russia is expanding the area under its control around Vovchansk Day 1525 of the war

Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Estonia assessments of the Russian threat cause friction between Tallinn and Kyiv

On 20 April, the Estonian government criticised Ukraine’s information policy, including public speculation about a possible Russian attack on the Baltic states. This followed a suggestion by President Volodymyr Zelensky that Russia was…