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Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

On 5 September, citing an anonymous White House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year 2026 (1 October 2025 – 30 September 2026) does not envisage continued funding for the…
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Jacek Tarociński

German military aid for Ukraine a new model of support

On 14 July, during a visit to Washington, German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius (SPD) confirmed that Germany was prepared to acquire two Patriot air defence systems. These would most likely replace the two batteries that Germany plans to…
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

The Coalition of the Willing on security guarantees for Ukraine less ambitious more concrete

On July 10, another meeting of the over 30-member Coalition of the Willing was held in virtual format to discuss post-war security guarantees for Ukraine, including the potential deployment of support forces. This coalition operates under…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Piotr Żochowski

Russian advances in Sumy Oblast Day 1210 of the war

Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Personnel reshuffle at the top of the Ukrainian army Day 1203 of the war

OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

The EUs gas market in 2025 Russian gas new US policy and strategic uncertainties

The EU gas market faces a turbulent year in 2025. With the cessation of Russian gas transit through Ukraine from 1 January and a significant depletion of storage reserves during the winter season, concerns over rising prices in the next…
Point of View | | Łukasz Maślanka

The patchwork defence union. Shifts in the EU’s security policy following the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 provided an impulse for the development of EU security and defence policy initiatives. Member states provided significant military assistance to Kyiv, making innovative use of Common…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Americans suspend military aid to Ukraine Day 1105 of the war

On 3 March, US media, citing White House or Pentagon officials, reported that the US was suspending military aid to Kyiv. The Wall Street Journal was the first to report on the Donald Trump administration freezing of deliveries to Ukraine…
OSW Commentary | | Łukasz Maślanka, Piotr Szymański

The resilience of the European Union and NATO in an era of multiple crises

NATO and the EU, Europe’s two most important security institutions, are currently pursuing their second round of efforts within the past decade to enhance the crisis resilience of states and societies. The first followed Russia’s…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Announcements of new Western military support for Ukraine Day 1098 of the war