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Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
During the fourth day of the fighting, the Ukrainian side began to expand its embargo on information about the current situation (Russia has given no information about the course of the fighting from the very start).
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On 25 February, the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky signed a decree entitled ‘On universal mobilisation’, which will cover males aged 18 to 55, to be carried out within 90 days. This is due to the country’s deteriorating military…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Maria Domańska
On the night of 23/24 February, Russian President Vladimir Putin delivered a message to the nation, during which he announced the beginning of a special military operation aimed at defending the people of Donbas against ‘genocide’, and at…
Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
The situation in the occupied part of eastern Ukraine has significantly worsened in recent days. On 18 February, the self-proclaimed authorities of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics (DPR & LPR), which are fully…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
During a meeting with President Vladimir Putin on 14 February, Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu announced that some of the large-scale exercises of the Russian Armed Forces had ended, while others were close to completion. The next day, the…
Analyses |
| Piotr Żochowski
On 7 December, Ukrainian military intelligence (HUR) announced that Russia is strengthening its support for the armed forces of the so-called separatists. In the 1st and 2nd Army Corps (based in Donetsk and Luhansk respectively), training…
OSW Commentary |
| Marek Menkiszak
Recent weeks have brought further displays of Russia’s escalating aggressive rhetoric and actions towards Ukraine, including troop movements near its border, as well as use of energy as leverage. This raises questions about Moscow’s…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
On 22 April, the so-called active phase of the combat readiness test of the Southern and Western Military Districts (MDs) being held at military training grounds in Crimea and the surrounding waters reached its final stage. A total of 10,…
Analyses |
| Marek Menkiszak, Andrzej Wilk
Since the end of March, the government in Kyiv has been warning that Russia is transferring additional armed forces to the Ukrainian border, which, as it says, may mean Russia is making preparations for a new phase of military operations.…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Nieczypor, Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
During the last days of March, representatives of Ukraine’s government (including President Zelensky) and army announced that Russia was preparing a wide-ranging armed provocation against Ukraine. According to the Commander-in-Chief of the…