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Analyses | | Kacper Sienicki

Sanctions against Lukashenka A shift in Ukraines policy towards Belarus

… Belarus’s invitation to join the Board of Peace. Donald Trump’s policy has raised concerns in Kyiv, as it breaks …
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Katarzyna Chawryło

Weaken divide and deter the aims of Russias provocation against Poland

… that the key factor would be the response from the Trump administration. Russia’s objective in these … also seeking to demonstrate to the West, NATO and the Trump administration the growing costs they are paying … camp’ within Western states and exert pressure on Trump to hasten efforts to impose a settlement on …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

… has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20 January 2025 and … due to a two-and-a-half-hour conversation between Trump and Polish President Andrzej Duda, held on 17 April in New York. Shortly after this meeting, Trump posted on social media: “Ukrainian survival and …
Analyses | | Maria Domańska, Piotr Żochowski, Witold Rodkiewicz

Major East–West prisoner exchange

… suggested that Moscow would prefer to see Donald Trump as the US leader. This shift may suggest that the Kremlin fears Trump’s unpredictability and is no longer confident that …
OSW Commentary | | Marek Menkiszak

Sometimes it is better not to talk Pitfalls of potential dialogue between Europe and Russia

… following the reopening of such dialogue by the Trump administration. Consequently, certain internal …
Analyses | | Tadeusz Iwański, Kamil Kłysiński

Belarusian-Ukrainian co-operation with Russia in the background

… went on a visit to the USA where he met with Donald Trump amongst others. He next visited Brussels on 22 …