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Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Death of 24 civilians in Donetsk Oblast Day 1301 of the war

OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Górecki

The three special cases demographic processes in the South Caucasus

Over the past 35 years, the population of the South Caucasus has increased from approximately 15.7 million to around 17.2 million.[1]This growth is entirely attributable to Azerbaijan, where a relatively high fertility rate persisted until…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski

The Belarusian regime releases 52 political prisoners – Lukashenka is playing a game with the US

On 11 September in Minsk, Alyaksandr Lukashenka hosted John Coale, the US President’s special envoy, and Christopher Smith, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Eastern European Affairs. Representatives of the Belarusian side alongside…
OSW Commentary | | Kacper Sienicki

Help from the Far East Japans support for Ukraine

Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine has significantly deepened Ukrainian–Japanese relations, making Tokyo one of Kyiv’s most important partners. This partnership stems from the alignment of both countries’ security interests. Ukraine…
Analyses | | Michał Kędzierski

Germany sixth extension of state control over Rosneft assets

On 8 September, the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy announced a further — sixth — extension of trusteeship over Rosneft Deutschland and RN Refining & Marketing. The measure will remain in force until 10 March 2026.
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Katarzyna Chawryło

Weaken divide and deter the aims of Russias provocation against Poland

On the night of 9–10 September, several Russian drones entering from Ukrainian and Belarusian airspace violated Polish airspace.
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

On 5 September, citing an anonymous White House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year 2026 (1 October 2025 – 30 September 2026) does not envisage continued funding for the…
Analyses | | Anna Kwiatkowska

The outline of the Merz doctrine Germany as a global player

On 8 September, Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) opened the annual ambassadors’ conference in Berlin identifying security and the competitiveness of the Federal Republic of Germany as priorities amid the systemic conflict between liberal…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Iskander damages Ukrainian government building Day 1294 of the war

Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

A moderate demonstration of power – Russian-Belarusian exercise Zapad-2025

The so-called active phase of the Russian-Belarusian Zapad-2025 exercise will take place from 12 to 16 September. According to Lithuanian intelligence, 30,000 troops from both countries are expected to take part, including 8,000 stationed…