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Analyses | | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Kamil Kłysiński

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskayas first official visit to Kyiv

On 25 May, Belarusian opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya arrived in Kyiv for a two-day official visit at the personal invitation of President Volodymyr Zelensky. During a joint press conference with Ukrainian Foreign Minister…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Witold Rodkiewicz, Kamil Kłysiński

Nuclear force exercises in Russia and Belarus

On 19–21 May, the Russian Armed Forces conducted comprehensive exercises involving both components of the country’s nuclear forces – strategic and tactical. The drills included the joint preparation and simulated use of tactical nuclear…
Analyses | | Daria Zielińska

A safer alternative growing interest in the Middle Corridor in Central Asia

According to data from Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Transport, over the past seven years the volume of cargo transported through the country via the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (TITR), also known as the Middle Corridor, has…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

No breakthrough as planned the current state of Russia-Belarus integration

On 26 February, Moscow hosted a further meeting of the Supreme State Council of the Union State, a format for regular meetings between the leaders of Russia and Belarus, together with their respective government delegations. On this…
OSW Commentary | | Marek Menkiszak

Sometimes it is better not to talk Pitfalls of potential dialogue between Europe and Russia

In recent weeks, discussions have intensified regarding the possible resumption of dialogue – including at the highest political level – between the European Union, its Member States, and the Russian Federation. This debate has unfolded in…
Analyses | | Kacper Sienicki

Sanctions against Lukashenka A shift in Ukraines policy towards Belarus

On 18 February, Ukraine imposed sanctions on Alyaksandr Lukashenka owing to Belarus’s growing involvement in supporting Russia’s war effort and circumventing the sanctions regime.
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Andrzej Kohut

Eased sanctions for the release of 123 prisoners as US–Belarus relations continue to thaw

Following talks with Alyaksandr Lukashenka in Minsk on 12–13 December, the US President’s Special Envoy for Belarus, John Coale, announced the lifting of the embargo on Belarusian potash fertilisers, originally imposed in 2021. In return,…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Kamil Kłysiński

Belarusian balloons prompt emergency situation in Lithuania

On 9 December, the Lithuanian government declared a nationwide emergency due to the threat to civil security posed by Belarusian smuggling balloons, which have been active for the past two months. These balloons are being directed into…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Final verdict in the Yukos case a triumph for former shareholders

On 17 October, the Supreme Court of the Kingdom of the Netherlands upheld the 2014 arbitration ruling in the ‘Yukos case’, definitively ordering the Russian Federation to pay compensation to the former shareholders of the now-defunct…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

The Russians are surrounding Siversk Day 1315 of the war