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OSW Report | | Jakub Ber, Tadeusz Iwański, Marcin Jędrysiak, Sławomir Matuszak, Krzysztof Nieczypor, Piotr Żochowski

Defence and determination. Ukraine during the third year of the Russian invasion

The full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine has continued for over 30 months, without a clear outcome in sight. Following the unsuccessful Ukrainian offensive in the autumn of 2023, the Russians have taken the initiative on the frontlines;…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein

A change of government in Lithuania the Social Democrats assume power from the centre-right

On 27 October, in the second round of the Lithuanian parliamentary election, the opposition Social Democratic party (LSDP), led by Vilija Blinkevičiūtė, emerged victorious. The election was held in 63 single-member districts, with two…
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

The fourth term of Georgian Dream a questionable victory

According to results published by the Central Election Commission (CEC), Georgian Dream (GD), which has been in power since 2012, won the parliamentary election in Georgia on 26 October, securing nearly 53.9% of the vote. In addition to…
OSW Report | | Marek Menkiszak

Winning the war with Russia is still possible. The West’s counter-strategy towards Moscow

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine aims to subjugate or destroy Ukraine, overturn the current political and security order in Europe, and fundamentally revise the global order. The conflict is systemic in nature and will continue as…
Analyses | | Miłosz Bartosiewicz, Katarzyna Chawryło

Success without breakthroughs the BRICS summit in Russia

Kazan hosted the 16th BRICS summit from 22 to 24 October. The event also included new members of the group, namely Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates, as well as representatives from 25 states (also the Republika Srpska of…
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło

The BSW campaign against US intermediate missile systems and a NATO HQ in Germany

For several months, the far-left Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) has been waging a campaign challenging the German government's security policy decisions. It aims to halt military support for Ukraine, initiate dialogue with Russia, and…
OSW Commentary | | Michał Bogusz

Chinas pressure on the Philippines the risk of an escalating conflict

Despite its formal defence alliance with the United States, the Philippines has been grappling with China’s increasing pressure in the South China Sea. The growing number of maritime incidents risks escalating local tensions into a full-…
Analyses | | Michał Kędzierski

Germany green light for the hydrogen network

On 22 October, Germany’s regulatory authority, the Federal Network Agency (Bundesnetzagentur, BNetzA), granted final approval for the draft of the proposed hydrogen core network (Wasserstoff-Kernnetz). This network will establish the…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota, Adam Michalski

The PKKs attack heralds an escalation of tensions over the Kurdish question

On 23 October, in the municipality of Kahramankazan – located in the suburbs of Ankara – a terrorist attack targeted the headquarters of the TUSAŞ, an armaments company that manufactures various flight platforms for the Turkish air force.…
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Adam Michalski

A period of thaw Scholz visits Turkey

On 19 October, during his official visit to Turkey, Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz met with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in Istanbul. During a press conference, the two leaders outlined key areas of cooperation, including…