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Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

… House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year … US armament and equipment to their militaries. The Trump administration intends the discontinuation of BSI … and other NATO members on the eastern flank that the Trump administration continues funding the European …
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

The crisis over Greenland Denmarks response to Trump

… ally, which has escalated over President Donald Trump’s ambitions to take control of Greenland, an … the Kingdom of Denmark. On 15 January, Frederiksen and Trump held a phone conversation which, according to … diplomatic effort, maintaining a firm stance towards Trump while simultaneously expressing support for …
OSW Commentary | | Piotr Szymański

NATO summit in The Hague Trumps return and a two-component 5 of GDP on defence

The NATO summit in The Hague (24–25 June) – the first chaired by new Secretary General Mark Rutte – was minimalist in both form and content. It concluded with a record-low five-point declaration. This approach to a meeting of NATO heads of…
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański, Bartosz Chmielewski, Marek Menkiszak

Russian fighter jets in Estonian airspace a test of NATOs unity

… aim to test allied responses, particularly that of the Trump administration. They form part of a calculated … has been no response from the United States. President Trump avoided commenting, citing insufficient … the US reaction and appears to believe that the Trump administration is not prepared to respond …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

… has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20 January 2025 and … due to a two-and-a-half-hour conversation between Trump and Polish President Andrzej Duda, held on 17 April in New York. Shortly after this meeting, Trump posted on social media: “Ukrainian survival and …
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

Greenland a unity government in Nuuk and the American dream of the Arctic

… in the polar regions, which was initiated during Donald Trump’s first term as president (see ‘ NATO’s polar … the island is unlikely to deliver the results that the Trump administration would like to achieve. In the early … party leaders issued a joint statement condemning Trump’s rhetoric. The following day, large anti-American …
Point of View | | Łukasz Maślanka

The patchwork defence union. Shifts in the EU’s security policy following the Russian invasion of Ukraine

… could shift depending on the policies of the Donald Trump administration. This paper puts forward a …
OSW Commentary | | Bartosz Chmielewski

The Kaja Kallas era Estonias high-profile diplomacy

… evolving international landscape following Donald Trump’s return to the US presidency. Tallinn must now … really be trusted’, Kaja Kallas warns ahead of new Trump-Putin call ’, Euronews, 17 March 2025, …
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

President of Ukraine announces the creation of Assault Forces Day 1308 of the war

… of them. On the same day, Reuters reported that Donald Trump’s administration had approved the first two …
OSW Commentary | | Krzysztof Nieczypor

A trusted ally Denmarks involvement in helping Ukraine

… expenditure was also driven by pressure from Donald Trump – first as a presidential candidate and later as …