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Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska

Russia added to the EUs blacklist of money-laundering jurisdictions

On 3 December, the European Commission added Russia to the EU’s list of high-risk countries – commonly referred to as the ‘blacklist’ – deemed to have strategic deficiencies in their frameworks for countering financial crime. The decision…
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska, Filip Rudnik

Trumps first sanctions the EUs 19th sanctions package the West increases the pressure on Russia

On 22 October, Donald Trump imposed sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil – Russia’s two largest oil companies. The restrictions also covered their subsidiaries, amounting to a total of 34 entities. On 23 October, the European Union also…
OSW Commentary | | Iwona Wiśniewska

Russias stagnating economy

Low export prices for crude oil and the slowdown in economic activity that has persisted since mid-2024 have severely constrained the Kremlin’s financial capacity and forced the government to undertake a major revision of its economic…
OSW Commentary | | Iwona Wiśniewska

Putins elite divides the spoils in Russia large-scale nationalisation and re-privatisation of assets

The war against Ukraine and sweeping Western sanctions have triggered another major wave of asset redistribution in Russia – one of the largest since the collapse of the Soviet Union. The actual scale of this process is difficult to…
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska

Russia is grappling with an influx of Chinese-made cars

On 30 July, the Russian Federal Agency for Technical Regulation and Metrology (Rosstandart) revoked certification permits for selected models of four Chinese truck brands (Dongfeng, Foton, FAW, and Sitrak), as well as for Foton truck…
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska

A blow to budget revenues 18th package of sanctions against Russia

On 18 July, following many weeks of discussion, the European Union succeeded in adopting the 18th package of sanctions against the Russian Federation that targets:
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska, Filip Rudnik

Seventeenth package of EU sanctions against Russia a signal to Moscow and Washington

On 20 May, the European Union adopted its 17th sanctions package against the Russian Federation. This package significantly expands the list of entities subject to EU sanctions. It includes 189 tankers from the ‘shadow fleet’, along with…
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska

Low oil prices are forcing Russia to revise its 2025 budget

On 30 April, the Russian government approved a draft law to revise the 2025 budget parameters. The government’s new macroeconomic projection assumes, among other things, an average annual oil export price of $56 per barrel (down from the $…
OSW Commentary | | Iwona Wiśniewska, Filip Rudnik

Russias budget under pressure from low oil prices

Since the beginning of 2025, Russian oil exporters have faced difficulties that are negatively impacting the state’s oil and gas revenues. Sanctions, combined with a strong rouble and falling global oil prices, are increasingly…
OSW Report | | Iwona Wiśniewska

A game of cat and mouse. How Russia is circumventing sanctions

The restrictions are having an impact, as seen in Russia’s civilian-orientated industries. However, the West – particularly the European Union, which was Moscow’s largest trading partner before the invasion – has not demonstrated…