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Analyses | | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Jacek Tarociński, Piotr Żochowski

Slowdown in Russias advances on the front Day 1469 of the war

Analyses | | Karol Wasilewski

Turkey and nuclear weapons playing a game of strategic ambiguity

In media appearances this February, Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has suggested that international developments could prompt Turkey to acquire nuclear weapons. Ankara is concerned about the prospect of a nuclear arms race in the Middle East…
Analyses | | Jan Nowinowski

Protests in Serbia the government and its opponents close ranks

Since the beginning of 2026, attempts have intensified to remobilise the Serbian student movement – the driving force behind the mass demonstrations that erupted following the construction disaster at the Novi Sad railway station on 1…
Analyses | | OSW team

US and Israeli strikes on Iran an attempt to engineer regime change

On 28 February, the armed forces of the United States and Israel launched a large-scale campaign of air strikes against Iran, codenamed Operation Epic Fury by the Pentagon and Lion’s Roar by the Israel Defense Forces. Its stated objective…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein

Lithuania towards the normalisation of relations with China

On 19 February, the President of Lithuania, Gitanas Nausėda, held consultations with government representatives concerning the normalisation of relations with China. A serious crisis in bilateral relations arose in 2021, following the…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

No breakthrough as planned the current state of Russia-Belarus integration

On 26 February, Moscow hosted a further meeting of the Supreme State Council of the Union State, a format for regular meetings between the leaders of Russia and Belarus, together with their respective government delegations. On this…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

The Russians are advancing towards Sloviansk and Kramatorsk Day 1462 of the war

Analyses | | Michał Kędzierski

Germany and the ETS yes to softening no to dismantling

During the European Industry Summit in Antwerp, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz called for changes to the EU Emissions Trading System in unusually strong terms. His remarks resonated widely across Europe and were interpreted as calling…
Analyses | | Kacper Sienicki

Sanctions against Lukashenka A shift in Ukraines policy towards Belarus

On 18 February, Ukraine imposed sanctions on Alyaksandr Lukashenka owing to Belarus’s growing involvement in supporting Russia’s war effort and circumventing the sanctions regime.
Analyses | | Michał Kucharski

New government in Kosovo the end of the political crisis

On 11 February, at its first session following the December parliamentary elections, the Assembly of Kosovo passed a vote of confidence in the new cabinet, headed by Albin Kurti, leader of the victorious left-wing Self-Determination (Alb.…