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Analyses |
| Krzysztof Strachota, Andrzej Kohut
On 7 April, a ceasefire between the US and Israel on one side and Iran on the other entered into force; on 5 May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced the end of Operation Epic Fury. Although full-scale hostilities have ceased,…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Strachota, Marek Matusiak, Andrzej Kohut
Iran and the United States have reached an agreement on a two-week ceasefire, during which US armed forces will refrain from further attacks on Iranian territory, while Tehran will unblock transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The deal was…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
The war between Israel and Lebanon-based Hezbollah, which began on 2 March, continues to escalate. Israel has been striking targets in southern and eastern Lebanon, as well as the group’s strongholds in the southern districts of Beirut.…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Strachota
Since 28 February, the United States and Israel have been carrying out attacks on Iran with the aim of neutralising its military capabilities and triggering the collapse of its political system. Although the two allies enjoy clear military…
OSW Commentary |
| Filip Rudnik
The fall in Russia’s oil and gas revenues observed since mid-2025, driven by falling global oil prices and a strong rouble, has deepened further owing to steep discounts applied to Russian crude in the final months of last year. These…
Analyses |
| Kacper Sienicki
Ukraine’s response to the US-Israeli attack on Iran and Iran’s retaliatory moves against countries in the region, was to express clear support for the United States, citing the hostile actions of the Iranian regime towards Ukraine during…
Analyses |
| Agata Łoskot-Strachota
The war between the United States and Israel and Iran, now entering its second week, is increasingly affecting neighbouring the Gulf states that export oil. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which has been in place for several days, is…
Analyses |
| Łukasz Maślanka
In a speech delivered on 2 March at the strategic submarine base on Île Longue in Brittany, President Emmanuel Macron announced the launch of a transformation of France’s nuclear doctrine towards “forward deterrence” (dissuasion avancée)…
Analyses |
| OSW team
On 28 February, the armed forces of the United States and Israel launched a large-scale campaign of air strikes against Iran, codenamed Operation Epic Fury by the Pentagon and Lion’s Roar by the Israel Defense Forces. Its stated objective…
OSW Commentary |
| Marek Matusiak
For many years, Israel under the leadership of Benjamin Netanyahu has consistently deepened its relations with the European right, including parties of an anti-establishment and nationalist character. An important stage in this process was…