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Analyses | | Łukasz Maślanka

Sovereign yet forward-oriented towards Europe the evolution of Frances nuclear deterrence doctrine

In a speech delivered on 2 March at the strategic submarine base on Île Longue in Brittany, President Emmanuel Macron announced the launch of a transformation of France’s nuclear doctrine towards “forward deterrence” (dissuasion avancée)…
Analyses | | Łukasz Maślanka

The E3 and the EU in response to the attack on Iran reluctantly aligned with the US

Europe’s largest countries have declined to join the initial phase of the US-Israeli strikes against Iran. However, they have condemned the Islamic Republic’s disproportionate and ‘indiscriminate’ retaliatory campaign targeting countries…
Analyses | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

Suspension of LNG exports from Qatar – the spectre of another gas crisis

The US-Israeli attack on Iran and its regional repercussions have significantly affected global energy markets, most notably the gas market. On 2 March, Qatar, the world’s third-largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, announced a…
Analyses | | Justyna Gotkowska

Sweden and the erosion of the nuclear taboo

Since the beginning of January this year, a debate on nuclear deterrence has been under way in Sweden.
Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Łukasz Maślanka, Marek Menkiszak

Trump escalates dispute over Greenland by targeting European allies with tariffs

On 17 January, US President Donald Trump announced that he will impose 10% tariffs on products from eight European countries: Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Germany, France, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom. The tariffs are set…
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

US-Denmark-Greenland current state of play and future scenarios

On 14 January, the United States, Denmark, and Greenland held trilateral consultations in Washington, attended by Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and the foreign ministers of Denmark and Greenland, Lars Løkke…
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański, Jacek Tarociński

NATOs northern flank allied forces and structures in the Nordic countries

On 3 October, NATO’s Multi-Corps Land Component Command – North (MCLCC-N) was inaugurated in Mikkeli, in east-central Finland. This de facto army-level command is tasked with planning and conducting land operations on NATO’s northern flank…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Mutual attacks on border energy infrastructure Day 1322 of the war

Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

Drones over Denmark a gap in defence capabilities and allied response

Between 22 and 28 September, unidentified unmanned aerial vehicles were detected over the western part of the Baltic Sea region. Sightings were reported in Denmark, Norway and Germany’s northern federal states, with additional reports from…
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

On 5 September, citing an anonymous White House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year 2026 (1 October 2025 – 30 September 2026) does not envisage continued funding for the…