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OSW Commentary | | Marek Menkiszak

Sometimes it is better not to talk Pitfalls of potential dialogue between Europe and Russia

In recent weeks, discussions have intensified regarding the possible resumption of dialogue – including at the highest political level – between the European Union, its Member States, and the Russian Federation. This debate has unfolded in…
Analyses | | Kacper Sienicki

Sanctions against Lukashenka A shift in Ukraines policy towards Belarus

On 18 February, Ukraine imposed sanctions on Alyaksandr Lukashenka owing to Belarus’s growing involvement in supporting Russia’s war effort and circumventing the sanctions regime.
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Andrzej Kohut

Eased sanctions for the release of 123 prisoners as US–Belarus relations continue to thaw

Following talks with Alyaksandr Lukashenka in Minsk on 12–13 December, the US President’s Special Envoy for Belarus, John Coale, announced the lifting of the embargo on Belarusian potash fertilisers, originally imposed in 2021. In return,…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Kamil Kłysiński

Belarusian balloons prompt emergency situation in Lithuania

On 9 December, the Lithuanian government declared a nationwide emergency due to the threat to civil security posed by Belarusian smuggling balloons, which have been active for the past two months. These balloons are being directed into…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Final verdict in the Yukos case a triumph for former shareholders

On 17 October, the Supreme Court of the Kingdom of the Netherlands upheld the 2014 arbitration ruling in the ‘Yukos case’, definitively ordering the Russian Federation to pay compensation to the former shareholders of the now-defunct…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

The Russians are surrounding Siversk Day 1315 of the war

Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Death of 24 civilians in Donetsk Oblast Day 1301 of the war

Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski

The Belarusian regime releases 52 political prisoners – Lukashenka is playing a game with the US

On 11 September in Minsk, Alyaksandr Lukashenka hosted John Coale, the US President’s special envoy, and Christopher Smith, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Eastern European Affairs. Representatives of the Belarusian side alongside…
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Katarzyna Chawryło

Weaken divide and deter the aims of Russias provocation against Poland

On the night of 9–10 September, several Russian drones entering from Ukrainian and Belarusian airspace violated Polish airspace.
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

A moderate demonstration of power – Russian-Belarusian exercise Zapad-2025

The so-called active phase of the Russian-Belarusian Zapad-2025 exercise will take place from 12 to 16 September. According to Lithuanian intelligence, 30,000 troops from both countries are expected to take part, including 8,000 stationed…