Publications

On 2 May, the first instalment of 80,000 tons of crude oil from Venezuela reached the refinery in Mazyr, Belarus. In accordance with the contract signed in March by Presidents Alyaksandr Lukashenka and Hugo Chávez, by the end of this year Belarus should receive a total of 4 million tons of crude. Although the Belarusian government has presented this project as a profitable undertaking, for the time being this is principally a demonstration, whose aim is to obtain more favourable conditions from Moscow for co-operation in the oil sector.
Analyses
2010-05-12

During the night of 8-9 May, one of the most tragic disasters of Russian mining in recent years occurred at Raspadskaya in Mezhdurechensk (Kemerovo oblast), the biggest coal mine in Russia. According to the currently available information, at least 49 miners and 17 rescue workers died, 24 people are formally listed as missing, and 83 were injured. Despite the scale of the tragedy, the political reaction of the Russian government in the immediate aftermath was limited, and in the media the disaster was overshadowed by the parade on Red Square in Moscow and other ceremonies connected with the anniversary of the end of the Second World War.
Analyses
2010-05-12

The region’s economic problems may deteriorate as money is withdrawn by Greek banks who play a major role in the financial sector of some Balkan countries. The problem with Athens’ vast debt and the expected long-term stagnation in Greece will slow down the economic development of the entire region.

Analyses
2010-05-12
Tomasz Dąborowski
Marta Szpala

Russia is modifying its historical policy; it is giving up its vindications of Stalin, while at the same time defending the concept of the USSR’s role as liberator during the Second World War.

Analyses
2010-05-12
Marcin Kaczmarski
Jadwiga Rogoża

Militant Islam is the greatest threat to stability in the North Caucasus. However, it is merely a symptom of a much wider process, namely the widening civilisational gap between Russia and the North Caucasus. As a result, the North Caucasus is turning into an enclave separated from the rest of the Russian Federation by a growing civilisational gap.

OSW Studies
2010-04-14
Maciej Falkowski
Nord Stream increases Gazprom’s flexibility as far its export routes are concerned; it enables them to be changed with regard to the market or political situation. Nevertheless, this expensive pipeline may contribute to a further drop in the price competitiveness of Russian gas.
Point of View
2010-03-29
Łukasz Antas
Agata Łoskot-Strachota
Contrary to the widely-held belief, Polish-Russian conflicts do not stem from genetic Russophobia on the part of Poland, or irrational prejudice on the part of Russia. Their substance is real and concerns strategic issues.
OSW Report
2010-03-18
Katarzyna Pełczyńska-Nałęcz

The financial reserves accumulated in times of prosperity (more than US$162 billion in the stabilisation funds and nearly US$598 billion in the currency and gold reserve) alleviated the negative impact of the crisis, although this failed to prevent the deep declines in macroeconomic indicators.

OSW Report
2010-01-27
Agata Dubas
Jadwiga Rogoża
Iwona Wiśniewska

The real threat posed by militant Islam seems to be rather limited, and its roots lie outside Central Asia. This region is unlikely to become a key front of global jihad. Nevertheless, this does not guarantee peace and safety in Central Asia, as the Islamic threat remains an element of the geopolitical rivalry in the region – the ‘New Great Game’.

Point of View
2010-01-27
Maciej Falkowski
Krzysztof Strachota

Russia’s actions so far have led to a kind of deadlock. Moscow has managed to stop NATO enlargement into the CIS area, persuade the USA not to deploy the missile shield in Poland and the Czech Republic, and avoid major consequences after the war with Georgia; nevertheless, the full implementation of its objectives remains unlikely.

OSW Studies
2009-12-20
Marcin Kaczmarski

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