Forecasting migration between the EU, V4 and Eastern Europe. Impact of visa abolition

This report is the result of one year of multi-dimensional field research conducted by a international research team representing seven countries (Poland, Czechia, Hungary, Slovakia, Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova). It aims at a detailed analysis of migration patterns and migration forecasts from Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova to the EU and the Visegrad Group (V4). In particular, the nexus between EU visa policy and migration dynamics as well as the impact of economic, political and institutional factors on migration patterns from Eastern Europe have been investigated.


From the review of Prof. Maciej Duszczyk, Deputy Director of the Institute of Social Policy of the University of Warsaw;

“The report demonstrates a comprehensive analysis of contemporary migration from Eastern Europe to the EU and V4 as well as detailed prognosis of future migration dynamics.  Research results prove that liberalisation of visa policies may bring significant benefits both for sending and receiving states. Therefore, this book should make
compulsory reading for anyone wishing to use rational arguments instead of populist slogans in debate on migration. This is particularly relevant in view of the growing support for anti-immigration parties across the entire European Union”


Edited by: Marta Jaroszewicz, Magdalena Lesińska


The report is also available in Ukrainian: