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Since the beginning of the ‘Russian Spring’, the Kremlin has fostered active attitudes among the nationalists and solicited their support.
The Kremlin rejects the possibility of reforms to the current political and economic model, which is the real source of Russia's economic problems.
We should not expect a serious escalation of hostilities in the North Caucasus, or the Islamic State associated with it.
Most likely, the main reason behind Russia’s decision is Gazprom’s financial problems, which are partly a result of the sanctions.
The very recognition of the Eurasian Union as a party to the talks by the EU would set a precedent with significant consequences for European security.
The signing of the treaty on alliance and strategic partnership marks the culmination of the tactic Russia has been employing with regard to Abkhazia since May.
On 9 November, during President Putin’s visit to Beijing, another package of Russian-Chinese agreements regarding the energy sector was signed.
The situation in the North Caucasus has stabilised, in comparison with previous years, mainly as regards the activity of the Islamic military underground.
In recent months Russia has increasingly used instruments for exerting economic pressure on Moldova.
We cannot rule out the possibility that the gas ‘ceasefire’ will be violated before the date specified in the protocol.