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The situation in the North Caucasus has stabilised, in comparison with previous years, mainly as regards the activity of the Islamic military underground.
The end of the Western military presence in Central Asia will mean the West’s influence on the security sphere in the region will be marginalised.
The ‘turn to the East’ proclaimed by Russia in 2010 has failed to bring about a fundamental breakthrough in her relations with Asian countries.
Moscow is preparing itself for the ‘long game’ in gas with its European partners.
Information warfare has a long tradition in Russia. Over the past few years it has been redefined, using geopolitical theory as its foundation.
Moscow’s control over the regions is currently so thorough that it contradicts the formally existing federal form of government in Russia.
Since the collapse of the USSR, Russian influence in Central Asia has undergone a far-reaching erosion. The process is unlikely to be reversed.
Germany at this stage seems to have no idea of what the long-term strategy of co-operation with Putin's Russia should be.
Considering the scale of violence in the North Caucasus, the conflict in the region should be regarded as a local civil war.