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Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Ukrainian attacks pose a growing problem for the Russian economy

Since mid-July, Ukrainian drones have expanded their list of targets inside the Russian Federation, striking warehouses operated by the online marketplace Wildberries. Between 18 July and 5 August, 21 facilities were attacked, killing at…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik, Iwona Wiśniewska

The EUs twenty-first sanctions package against Russia national interests dilute the measures

The EU’s twenty-first sanctions package against Russia: national interests dilute the measures
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Russia the government is powerless in the face of the fuel crisis

Since the end of May, Russia has been experiencing a fuel crisis marked by physical shortages of fuel across most regions of the country, accompanied by rising prices for petrol and diesel. This disruption – considered the most severe in…
OSW Commentary | | Filip Rudnik

When trouble strikes turn to the Kremlin how the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz benefits Russias oil exports

The war in the Persian Gulf and the resulting disruption to global hydrocarbon markets have strengthened Russia’s position as an energy exporter. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz gave rise to shortages of crude oil, refined fuels and…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik, Miłosz Bartosiewicz

Ukrainian attacks on Tuapse a threat to Russias fuel sector and the environment

Since mid-April 2026, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have attacked Russian energy infrastructure facilities in Tuapse, Krasnodar Krai, on at least four occasions: 16, 20 and 28 April, and 1 May. These drone strikes triggered prolonged fires…
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska, Filip Rudnik

20th sanctions package the EU signals it will stay the course despite the energy crisis

On 23 April, the Council of the European Union adopted its 20th package of sanctions against Russia. The measures tighten restrictions on Russian oil and LNG exports, including those targeting the operation of the so-called ‘shadow fleet…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Ukrainian attacks on Russias oil export infrastructure

In March, Ukraine intensified its attacks on Russia’s oil and fuel infrastructure, primarily targeting facilities involved in the export of crude oil and petroleum products. Drones struck oil terminals in the Baltic ports of Primorsk and…
OSW Commentary | | Witold Rodkiewicz, Filip Rudnik, Iwona Wiśniewska

Gains amid mounting challenges the consequences of the war in Iran for Russia

The US-Israeli attack on Iran has had varied consequences for Russia. In political and strategic terms, the challenge posed by the Trump administration’s policy based on the use of force – targeting Moscow’s allies and exposing its…
OSW Commentary | | Filip Rudnik

Chaos is a blessing the attack on Iran and the future of sanctions on Russian oil

The fall in Russia’s oil and gas revenues observed since mid-2025, driven by falling global oil prices and a strong rouble, has deepened further owing to steep discounts applied to Russian crude in the final months of last year. These…
OSW Commentary | | Filip Rudnik

An uncertain future for Rosatoms nuclear technology exports

Despite Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Rosatom, unlike many other Russian energy companies, has not faced significant Western sanctions. This has enabled it to continue operating in the key area of supplying nuclear technology to…