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Since the beginning of the ‘Russian Spring’, the Kremlin has fostered active attitudes among the nationalists and solicited their support.
The Kremlin rejects the possibility of reforms to the current political and economic model, which is the real source of Russia's economic problems.
We should not expect a serious escalation of hostilities in the North Caucasus, or the Islamic State associated with it.
Most likely, the main reason behind Russia’s decision is Gazprom’s financial problems, which are partly a result of the sanctions.
The very recognition of the Eurasian Union as a party to the talks by the EU would set a precedent with significant consequences for European security.