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Analyses | | Kamil Całus

Romania new presidential election without Georgescu

… now standing as an independent candidate with ties to Trump’s supporters). Earlier, on 9 March, the Central … in Bucharest fear potential criticism from the Donald Trump administration and a deterioration in relations … social media platform from Elon Musk, a key adviser to Trump (see ‘ MAGA casts a shadow on US-Romanian …
Analyses | | Adam Michalski

Turkey and the EU renewed efforts in a complex web of disputes

… so far produced no tangible results. The policy of the Trump administration has become a significant driver of …
OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

The EUs gas market in 2025 Russian gas new US policy and strategic uncertainties

… could also undermine the energy interests of Donald Trump’s administration by reducing European demand for … (most recently driven largely by actions taken by the Trump administration). Throughout most of the 2024/2025 … and exports remains a key priority for Donald Trump. In line with this agenda, one of his …
Analyses | | Artur Ciechanowicz

The US presidential election the view from Germany

… Chancellor Angela Merkel congratulated Donald Trump on his victory. She emphasised that she felt … with any country outside the European Union and offered Trump close co-operation,  on the condition that common … Germans had hoped for. Franz Josef Jung congratulated Trump on his victory on behalf of the CDU/CSU …
OSW Commentary | | Paulina Uznańska

Dialogue from a position of strength Chinas EU policy

… weakening international position. The return of Donald Trump to the White House, along with his critical stance … policy. In the short term, it seeks to avert Trump’s creation of a ‘cordon sanitaire against China’. … as the economic pressure from the United States during Trump’s first term – prompted the European Union to …
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański

Greenland a unity government in Nuuk and the American dream of the Arctic

… in the polar regions, which was initiated during Donald Trump’s first term as president (see ‘ NATO’s polar … the island is unlikely to deliver the results that the Trump administration would like to achieve. In the early … party leaders issued a joint statement condemning Trump’s rhetoric. The following day, large anti-American …
Analyses | | Marta Szpala

US sanctions against Serbian oil company NIS

… failure of Belgrade’s efforts to persuade the Donald Trump administration to grant a long-term suspension of … that, in light of improving bilateral relations, the Trump administration would show greater leniency …
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Aleksandra Kozaczyńska

Agreement between CDUCSU and SPD on increasing defence and infrastructure spending

… uncertainty regarding the consequences of Donald Trump’s policies. His push to normalise relations with … States has suspended military aid to Ukraine following Trump’s widely criticised meeting with President … the new government’s position in negotiations with the Trump administration, which has criticised Germany for …
Analyses | | Marek Matusiak

US-Israeli relations after Bidens victory

… of 2016, when Netanyahu spoke to president-elect Donald Trump the day after the election. Netanyahu ’s reserved … is an effect of his close personal relationship with Trump and his fear of decisions which the outgoing … months in office, if he found Netanyahu to be disloyal. Trump has made many moves that did not match the canons …
OSW Commentary | | Jakub Jakóbowski

The US–China trade dispute phase two

… Donald Trump has pursued his strategy of stepping up pressure … of US–China trade exchange (see Appendix). President Trump has already announced that goods imported from … based on seeking spectacular agreements (‘deals’) that Trump had initially adopted is losing ground. This …