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Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Saakashvili and The Georgian Opposition The State of Play

… health had rapidly deteriorated, and the former Georgian president had been taken to an intensive care … proves that Saakashvili – who retired from active Georgian politics a decade ago and has been in prison … world. If he dies, this would lead to mass protests in Georgia whose outcome would be difficult to predict. …
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

A split in the Georgian opposition

… The United National Movement (UNM), Georgia’s largest opposition party which governed the … the UNM began escalating when it lost power in 2012 to Georgian Dream, the party created by Bidzina … from abroad, so the resistance of the party leaders in Georgia grew. The conflict reached its apogee after …
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

The Georgian Dream takes total control

… The runoff of the parliamentary election in Georgia took place on 30 October. Mainly representatives of the Georgian Dream and the opposition United National … competed in the fifty single-seat constituencies. The Georgian Dream, a party controlled by the oligarch …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Leader of separatist Abkhazia dies

… the relationship between Sukhumi and Tbilisi, Russian-Georgian relations and Russia’s position in the region. … while retaining hope of maintaining its contacts with Georgia. A winner for the other camp would downgrade …   Abkhazia is formally an autonomous republic in Georgia, but it won de facto independence for itself as …
Analyses | | Maciej Falkowski

Unrest in Abkhazia

… of the organisation of the veterans of the war with Georgia, Vitali Gabnia – are convinced that there is a … of a larger section of people (particularly of Georgians, prevalent in the eastern part of the … to an ever larger extent into a “black hole”. The Georgian factor is not present in the current events in …
Analyses | | Marek Matusiak

Protests in Tbilisi should not threaten the governments position

… public frustration.     The political background   The Georgian political scene is dominated by President … his party, the United National Movement (UNM). Although Georgia is by far the most advanced state regarding … sees no alternative among the opposition camp. The Georgian opposition is fragmented and conflicted, and in …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Deep crisis in South Ossetia – the internal and regional aspects

… of South Ossetia (which is formally a part of Georgia). Dzhioyeva’s supporters may resort to violence. … in which South Ossetia found itself after the Russian-Georgian war of 2008 and its subsequent cessation of all …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki, Agata Wierzbowska-Miazga

Election scandal in South Ossetia

… Supreme Court of South Ossetia (a breakaway republic on Georgian territory) annulled the results of the second … the future Moscow may want to ‘give’ South Ossetia to Georgia in exchange for control over the whole country, … prospect of such a step as a bargaining chip with the Georgian government. …
Analyses | | Marek Matusiak

Presidential elections in Georgia – questions despite a clear favourite

… On 27 October presidential elections will be held in Georgia. The favourite to win is the candidate of the ruling Georgian Dream (GD) coalition, Giorgi Margvelashvili. It … it is difficult to predict who will be running Georgia after the elections (including representing the …
Analyses | | Aleksandra Jarosiewicz, Marek Matusiak

Ivanishvili goes to Azerbaijan – a visit overshadowed by misunderstandings

… The new head of the Georgian government, Bidzina Ivanishvili, visited the … (a section of this is currently under construction in Georgia). This project is of key significance for Baku. … owing to preferential loans granted by Azerbaijan to Georgia (the total loan amount will reach US$775 …