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Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Łukasz Maślanka, Marek Matusiak, Witold Rodkiewicz

Trumps Board of Peace an alternative to the UN

On 22 January in Davos, representatives of 20 states signed the Charter of the Board of Peace established by Donald Trump (see Appendix). The concept of the board first appeared in a 20-point peace plan for Gaza presented by the United…
Analyses | | Marek Matusiak

Israels stance on Donald Trumps second term

The change in the White House and the policies of the US administration have been met with considerable satisfaction in Israel – among the government, the broader political class, and society as a whole. This is influenced by the memory of…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota, Andrzej Kohut

Stalemate the fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran

… with Iran has been a success, President Donald Trump requires two conditions to be met. First, transit … was intended to serve this purpose. At the same time, Trump is maintaining the threat of a return to … only 38% supporting US involvement in the conflict. The Trump administration must contend with voters’ fears of …
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota, Marek Matusiak, Andrzej Kohut

Ceasefire in Iran an uncertain path to peace

… to the expiry of the ultimatum set by President Donald Trump for 8:00 PM (US Eastern Time) on Tuesday, 7 April … Security Council, the ceasefire signifies that the Trump administration accepted ten Iranian conditions and … the United States. By contrast, a post by President Trump on his Truth Social platform suggested that these …
Analyses | | OSW team

US and Israeli strikes on Iran an attempt to engineer regime change

… elite and spark public protests. President Donald Trump himself wants a short-lived and successful … threaten US interests and allies in the region. For the Trump administration, the military operation represents … in the political process. This is precisely what Trump suggested in a brief video address delivered …
Analyses | | Marek Matusiak

Gaza Strip a ceasefire with vague prospects for peace

… end the conflict in the Gaza Strip, presented by Donald Trump at the end of September. The plan stipulates, among other elements, that Trump will symbolically head the body supervising Gaza’s … and Egypt, together with the Emir of Qatar, signed the Trump Declaration for Enduring Peace and Prosperity in …
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota

Brutal suppression of protests in Iran

… political support for the protests; President Donald Trump, for example, threatened direct intervention … to the protests and the diaspora opposition, and Trump openly pledged direct backing for demonstrators, …
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota

Iran on the brink of revolution and war

… United States. A meeting between US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on … a direct threat to Israel’s security. On 2 January, Trump warned of potential intervention should the …
Analyses | | Miłosz Bartosiewicz, Marek Menkiszak

Moscows response to Israeli attacks on Iran

… The following day, he spoke with US President Donald Trump, and on 16 June with Turkish President Recep … ‘ A new Russian-Iranian treaty: closing ranks ahead of Trump’s presidency ’ ), exerted no influence over the … in Ukraine; owing to developments in the Middle East, Trump departed the G7 summit in Canada. Moscow will …
Analyses | | Witold Rodkiewicz

Russias response to the US strike on Iran normalising relations with the US remains a priority

… Third, it is seeking not to alienate President Donald Trump and to preserve the prospect of normalising … the prospect of normalising relations with the Trump administration. As a result, Russia limited itself … the Kremlin’s intention to manipulate President Trump in order to advance its broader strategic …