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Analyses | | Mariusz Marszewski

A belated division of the Caspian Sea

… all five coastal countries (Russia, Iran, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan) adopted a framework … and the BTE gas pipeline were put into operation, and Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia set the borders of … Trans-Caspian gas pipeline running from Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan (at present, the implementation of this …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Armenia a contested success for Pashinyan

… more than seven months after the defeat in the war with Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh. The defeat has … the unstable situation in the south of the country and Azerbaijan's increasing attempts to unilaterally … Republic during the victorious first war with Azerbaijan in the early 1990s. Criminal cases are …
Analyses | | Rafał Sadowski

Progress in integrating the South Caucasus countries with Europe

… agreements with Armenia on 27 February, and with Azerbaijan on 1 March. In its conclusions on 27 … and intellectual property protection. In the case of Azerbaijan, which cannot begin DCFTA negotiations as it … fair elections. The very high levels of corruption in Azerbaijan and Armenia are also negative factors, as is …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki, Krzysztof Strachota

Post-war reckoning Political crisis in Armenia

… The autumn defeat in the war with Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh triggered a deep … On the brink of a disaster The defeat in the war with Azerbaijan (27 September – 10 November 2020) came as a … to this point – namely the victory in the 1994 war with Azerbaijan. It has also made some cracks in the myth of …
Analyses | | Marcin Popławski

Turkmenistan is looking for new export destinations as its contract with Russia ends

… to Iran and Uzbekistan, and updated its agreement with Azerbaijan. Details of the agreement with Tehran have … to sanctions by Washington. Sales of Turkmen gas to Azerbaijan are also set to increase (from 4.5 mcm to …
Analyses | | Szymon Ananicz

Armenia turns away from the EU

… on Russia, and strengthened Armenia’s position against Azerbaijan and Turkey. Since it is impossible to … of Armenia’s security in the latter’s conflict with Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh. Russia recently … policy based on favouring Armenia by selling weapons to Azerbaijan for a total sum of US$4 billion. Another …
OSW Report | | Konrad Popławski, Sandra Baniak-Stachowiak, Adam Michalski, Marcin Popławski

The Middle Corridor. A Eurasian alternative to Russia

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which has now been ongoing for almost two years, is not only leading to significant political re-evaluations, but is also bringing with it significant transformations in Eurasian transport routes. One of the…
Analyses | | OSW team

The US President has recognised the 1915 genocide of Armenians

… in both countries; the determining factor was that Azerbaijan informally objected to it, claiming that the … of the borders between Armenia and Turkey would deprive Azerbaijan of a means of pressure on Armenia - which … then (1994-2020) still controlled Nagorno-Karabakh and Azerbaijani territories around it (Armenia was …
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

Armenia on the verge of a revolution Street protests continue despite the prime ministers resignation

… would be used as a ‘green light’ from Moscow, allowing Azerbaijan to launch a limited military operation in … example). This scenario would become more likely were Azerbaijan to launch a military offensive, and Azerbaijan has been preparing for a military resolution …
Analyses | | Marcin Popławski

Turkmenistan concerns over Russias growing activity on the regional gas market

… has been pushing for a return to talks with the EU, Azerbaijan and Turkey on the Trans-Caspian gas pipeline. … a mandate to launch negotiations with Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan on constructing the pipeline, but interest in … be able to increase its swap deliveries through Iran to Azerbaijan, which have been ongoing since January last …