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Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

No breakthrough as planned the current state of Russia-Belarus integration

… Lukashenka dismissed media reports alleging that the Trump administration was seeking to detach Belarus from …
Analyses | | Kacper Sienicki

Sanctions against Lukashenka A shift in Ukraines policy towards Belarus

… Belarus’s invitation to join the Board of Peace. Donald Trump’s policy has raised concerns in Kyiv, as it breaks …
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Tadeusz Iwański

Sham dialogue the Istanbul talks between Ukraine and Russia

… President Zelensky’s legitimacy. In response to Donald Trump’s statements about the need for a direct meeting … Ukraine are designed to derail the talks and discourage Trump from continuing support for Kyiv. Commentary The … the prolongation of negotiations to discourage the Trump administration from continuing its (limited) …
Analyses | | Karol Wasilewski

Turkeys stance on US negotiations with Russia no discussions on Ukraine without us

… Tayyip Erdoğan stated that the initiative of the Donald Trump administration, aimed at swiftly ending the war … confidence-building measure. Positive remarks regarding Trump’s initiative stem from Ankara’s cautious approach … The Turkish leadership appears deeply concerned about Trump’s excessively conciliatory stance towards Moscow. …
Analyses | | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Kacper Sienicki

Tactical success for Kyiv a US-Ukrainian ceasefire proposal

… Moscow for a further visit. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump has announced plans to speak with Vladimir Putin. … fallout from Volodymyr Zelensky’s dispute with Donald Trump and J.D. Vance in the Oval Office on 28 February, … statement following the talks in Saudi Arabia. The Trump administration fears that Russia may attempt to …
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Katarzyna Chawryło

Weaken divide and deter the aims of Russias provocation against Poland

… that the key factor would be the response from the Trump administration. Russia’s objective in these … also seeking to demonstrate to the West, NATO and the Trump administration the growing costs they are paying … camp’ within Western states and exert pressure on Trump to hasten efforts to impose a settlement on …
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

A sham energy truce Day 1441 of the war

… appropriate orders to their troops. President Donald Trump announced that he had personally asked Vladimir … the Russian position, according to which Moscow, at Trump’s request, had committed to suspending attacks on …
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Witold Rodkiewicz

Meeting in Istanbul The Kremlins maximalist demands

… as part of negotiations initiated by the Donald Trump administration to bring the war to an end. During … seeking to derail the talks and to discourage President Trump from maintaining limited US support for Ukraine. … of an unconditional ceasefire – proposed by both the Trump administration and Ukraine – as a starting point …
Analyses | | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Andrzej Kohut

Zelensky visits the US a diplomatic failure rather than a victory plan

… two presidential candidates, Kamala Harris, and Donald Trump, and visited an ammunition factory in … Washington’s continued support for Kyiv should Trump win the election. Commentary All indications … stems from Ukraine’s concerns regarding a potential Trump victory. The Republican Party’s candidate has …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

… has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20 January 2025 and … due to a two-and-a-half-hour conversation between Trump and Polish President Andrzej Duda, held on 17 April in New York. Shortly after this meeting, Trump posted on social media: “Ukrainian survival and …