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Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Social discontent rising in Belarus a threat to the regime

The Belarusian public’s growing dissatisfaction with the economic situation could lead to wider social protests this autumn. This may open up room for manoeuvre for the Belarusian nomenklatura and for external actors, mainly Russia.
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

The president of Belarus continues repression and strengthens authoritarian system of government

Fearing a weakening of the system, President Alyaksandr Lukashenka continues his policy of repression, which is leading to international self-isolation of Belarus; however, in the coming months, the growing financial crisis may force Minsk…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Kłysiński

On the verge of crisis Mounting economic problems in Belarus

Belarus’s financial condition has visibly worsened since the beginning of this year. The severe falls in the country’s foreign currency reserves and its shortage of foreign currency on the international market pose an increasing threat to…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

Belarus Harsh sentences on participants in December opposition demonstrations

By passing harsh sentences on opposition activists, President Alyaksandr Lukashenka has demonstrated his strength to the public and the nomenklatura, while at the same time sending a signal that the EU’s sanctions will not encourage Minsk…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński

The presidential campaign in Belarus

Unlike the previous elections in 2006, during this year's presidential campaign the government of Belarus has clearly eased its policies towards the opposition, and created greater opportunities to conduct electoral canvassing. However,…
OSW Report | | Kamil Kłysiński, Wojciech Konończuk

Opposites put together. Belarus's politics of memory

The outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in 2014 became a turning point in Belarus’s historical narrative and forced the regime to emphasise Belarusian distinctiveness from Russia more than before. The activation of the politics of…
Analyses | | Szymon Kardaś, Kamil Kłysiński

Belarus a difficult start to oil supply diversification

On 15 May, Foreign Minister Uladzimir Makey announced that the US would start supplying Belarus with oil, with the first delivery to be made in June to the port in Klaipeda (Argus reports that this will be 90,000 tonnes) and then unloaded…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Tadeusz Iwański, Kamil Całus

Ukraine Moldova and Belarus on the Eastern Partnership

The fifth Eastern Partnership summit will take place in Brussels on 24 November. This programme is perceived differently today by Belarus, Ukraine and Moldova.
Analyses | | Tadeusz Iwański, Kamil Kłysiński

Belarusian-Ukrainian co-operation with Russia in the background

On 20–21 July, the Belarusian president, Alyaksandr Lukashenka, made an official visit to Kyiv where he met with the Ukrainian president, Petro Poroshenko. 
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski

Alyaksandr Lukashenka sharpens his rhetoric towards the West

President Alyaksandr Lukashenka informed that the Belarusian prosecution authorities had detained a group of tens of people preparing for an armed provocation.