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Analyses | | Karol Wasilewski

Turkeys stance on US negotiations with Russia no discussions on Ukraine without us

President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to Ankara on 18 February provided Turkey with an opportunity to present its stance on negotiations between the United States and the Russian Federation. During a press conference, Turkish President…
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

Despite advances by Russian forces, the third year of full-scale war has not seen a fundamental shift in the military situation. However, it has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20…
OSW Report | | Marek Menkiszak

Winning the war with Russia is still possible. The West’s counter-strategy towards Moscow

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine aims to subjugate or destroy Ukraine, overturn the current political and security order in Europe, and fundamentally revise the global order. The conflict is systemic in nature and will continue as…
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Adam Michalski

A period of thaw Scholz visits Turkey

On 19 October, during his official visit to Turkey, Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz met with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in Istanbul. During a press conference, the two leaders outlined key areas of cooperation, including…
Analyses | | Maria Domańska, Piotr Żochowski, Witold Rodkiewicz

Major East–West prisoner exchange

On 1 August, Ankara witnessed the largest prisoner exchange between the US and Russia since the Cold War. The exchange also involved Belarus, Germany, Poland, Norway, and Slovenia.
OSW Commentary | | Jakub Graca, Justyna Gotkowska

NATOs nuclear deterrence is it time for change

NATO is in the process of adjusting its nuclear deterrence in response to the modernisation of Russia’s nuclear capabilities, the deployment of Russian tactical nuclear weapons near NATO’s borders, and the Kremlin’s increasingly aggressive…
OSW Commentary | | Zuzanna Krzyżanowska

On the trail of the grey wolf pan-Turkism in Turkeys foreign policy

Ankara’s active policy in the Caucasus and Central Asia is linked among other things with pan-Turkism, an idea which advocates the integration of the Turkic nations. It is continuously present in the political culture of the Turkish state…
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska, Andrzej Wilk, Sławomir Matuszak, Adam Michalski

Russia renewed blockade of Ukrainian grain exports by sea

On 29 October, explosions occurred at the Russian Black Sea Fleet base in Sevastopol, most likely the result of an attack using unmanned surface vehicles (USVs) in the form of explosive-laden speedboats. The incident was reported by Moscow…
Analyses | | Szymon Ananicz

Turkey on the Russian military intervention in Crimea

Irrespective of the pro-Ukrainian declarations made by minister Davutoğlu, one should not expect Ankara to impose sanctions.