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OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

Excessive dependence The growing role of US LNG and oil in the EU market

… trade, and energy policies under President Donald Trump, as well as by certain US actions viewed by the EU … factor is that the key objectives of President Trump’s energy policy include expanding hydrocarbon … pressuring partners into taking actions favoured by the Trump administration, have raised questions about …
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Justyna Gotkowska

Germany and nuclear deterrence dialogue with France while preserving US guarantees

… the future of US military engagement in Europe and the Trump administration’s animosity towards the EU. The … of French nuclear deterrence. During the first Trump administration in 2020, France invited its …
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Justyna Gotkowska, Tadeusz Iwański

New US peace plan pressure on Kyiv on Moscows conditions

… the US President’s envoy Steve Witkoff, and Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner. Dmitriev’s visit to … with Moscow’s unconstructive stance . After the Trump–Putin summit in Anchorage in August, Russia … . After his talks failed, he cancelled another planned Trump–Putin summit in Budapest, and on 22 October Trump …
Analyses | | Aleksandra Kozaczyńska

Europe compensates for losses in German exports

… protectionist trade policy pursued by President Donald Trump, which particularly affected the German automotive … as a result of the high tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. Consequently, these goods have …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

… has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20 January 2025 and … due to a two-and-a-half-hour conversation between Trump and Polish President Andrzej Duda, held on 17 April in New York. Shortly after this meeting, Trump posted on social media: “Ukrainian survival and …
OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

The EUs gas market in 2025 Russian gas new US policy and strategic uncertainties

… could also undermine the energy interests of Donald Trump’s administration by reducing European demand for … (most recently driven largely by actions taken by the Trump administration). Throughout most of the 2024/2025 … and exports remains a key priority for Donald Trump. In line with this agenda, one of his …
Analyses | | Artur Ciechanowicz

The US presidential election the view from Germany

… Chancellor Angela Merkel congratulated Donald Trump on his victory. She emphasised that she felt … with any country outside the European Union and offered Trump close co-operation,  on the condition that common … Germans had hoped for. Franz Josef Jung congratulated Trump on his victory on behalf of the CDU/CSU …
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Aleksandra Kozaczyńska

Agreement between CDUCSU and SPD on increasing defence and infrastructure spending

… uncertainty regarding the consequences of Donald Trump’s policies. His push to normalise relations with … States has suspended military aid to Ukraine following Trump’s widely criticised meeting with President … the new government’s position in negotiations with the Trump administration, which has criticised Germany for …
Analyses | | Anna Kwiatkowska

Merkel in Washington a cool reception

… the United States and her meeting with President Donald Trump (17 March), Chancellor Angela Merkel was faced … an American administration. The intention of President Trump and his entourage, albeit expressed only … regarding defence policy expenditure, which President Trump has often criticised, and which was also raised …
Analyses | | Rafał Bajczuk

The US withdrawal from the Paris climate agreement German reactions

… On 1 June, President Donald Trump announced that the US would withdraw from the … companies probably played a large role in the decision. Trump proposed the negotiation of a new international … Association of German Industry (BDI) stated that Trump’s isolationist policy threatened the companies’ …