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Analyses | | Miłosz Bartosiewicz, Marek Menkiszak

Moscows response to Israeli attacks on Iran

… The following day, he spoke with US President Donald Trump, and on 16 June with Turkish President Recep … ‘ A new Russian-Iranian treaty: closing ranks ahead of Trump’s presidency ’ ), exerted no influence over the … in Ukraine; owing to developments in the Middle East, Trump departed the G7 summit in Canada. Moscow will …
OSW Commentary | | Andrzej Kohut

The US budget battle a crucial test for Republicans

… the federal budget for the 2025 fiscal year. The Donald Trump administration’s stated goal is to balance the … strategy.   Tax and spending cuts According to Donald Trump, the fate of the country and the future of … the extension of the tax cuts introduced by the first Trump administration in 2017, as well as deregulation …
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Tadeusz Iwański

Sham dialogue the Istanbul talks between Ukraine and Russia

… President Zelensky’s legitimacy. In response to Donald Trump’s statements about the need for a direct meeting … Ukraine are designed to derail the talks and discourage Trump from continuing support for Kyiv. Commentary The … the prolongation of negotiations to discourage the Trump administration from continuing its (limited) …
Analyses | | Kacper Sienicki

Sanctions against Lukashenka A shift in Ukraines policy towards Belarus

… Belarus’s invitation to join the Board of Peace. Donald Trump’s policy has raised concerns in Kyiv, as it breaks …
Analyses | | Witold Rodkiewicz

Russias response to the US strike on Iran normalising relations with the US remains a priority

… Third, it is seeking not to alienate President Donald Trump and to preserve the prospect of normalising … the prospect of normalising relations with the Trump administration. As a result, Russia limited itself … the Kremlin’s intention to manipulate President Trump in order to advance its broader strategic …
Analyses | | Karol Wasilewski

Turkeys stance on US negotiations with Russia no discussions on Ukraine without us

… Tayyip Erdoğan stated that the initiative of the Donald Trump administration, aimed at swiftly ending the war … confidence-building measure. Positive remarks regarding Trump’s initiative stem from Ankara’s cautious approach … The Turkish leadership appears deeply concerned about Trump’s excessively conciliatory stance towards Moscow. …
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński

US military support for Ukraine what to expect after Biden

… sustain an effective defence of their homeland. Donald Trump could utilise the remaining $2.25 billion under … 3,000 HMMWVs, and a Patriot air defence battery. The Trump administration could utilise the remaining $2.25 … prolonged negotiations over the previous package, which Trump supported at the time. A significant challenge may …
Analyses | | Maciej Kalwasiński, Michał Bogusz

A blow dealt to Europes defence China steps up control of strategic exports

… ahead of the meeting between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump on the sidelines of the APEC summit at the turn of … political concessions, including declarations from Trump regarding Taiwan. Nevertheless, it should be …
Analyses | | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Kacper Sienicki

Tactical success for Kyiv a US-Ukrainian ceasefire proposal

… Moscow for a further visit. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump has announced plans to speak with Vladimir Putin. … fallout from Volodymyr Zelensky’s dispute with Donald Trump and J.D. Vance in the Oval Office on 28 February, … statement following the talks in Saudi Arabia. The Trump administration fears that Russia may attempt to …
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański, Bartosz Chmielewski, Marek Menkiszak

Russian fighter jets in Estonian airspace a test of NATOs unity

… aim to test allied responses, particularly that of the Trump administration. They form part of a calculated … has been no response from the United States. President Trump avoided commenting, citing insufficient … the US reaction and appears to believe that the Trump administration is not prepared to respond …