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Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvian parliamentary election Prime Minister seeks re-election

The United List (Latvian: Apvienotais saraksts, AS), led by incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, is likely to win the 3 October election to the Saeima, Latvia’s 100-seat unicameral parliament.
Analyses | | Michał Bogusz, Daria Zielińska

South Korea–Central Asia Summit critical minerals take centre stage

On 16 September, Seoul hosted the first summit between the leaders of South Korea and the five Central Asian states – Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan (the C5). The summit concluded with the adoption of a 30-…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Krzysztof Nieczypor, Jacek Tarociński

The Ukrainians are overwhelming Moscows air defence Day 1672 of the war

Analyses | | Kamil Frymark

Germany victory for Die Linke in Berlin and the AfD in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania

On 20 September, the AfD won the election to the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania (MVP), securing 38.2% of the vote (+21.5 percentage points compared with the 2021 result) and 32 seats in the 71-seat parliament. It…
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak

Russias war plan subjugate Ukraine intimidate Europe buy off the US

Russia is preparing to escalate its aggression against Ukraine and launch a new phase of its so-called hybrid war against Europe. The Kremlin is pursuing this course because it remains unable to achieve its objectives and faces mounting…
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Lidia Gibadło

Germany and the US expand defence industry cooperation

On 16 September, during a visit to the Pentagon, German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius (SPD) and his US counterpart, Pete Hegseth, signed a declaration on closer cooperation between the two countries’ defence industries and the…
Analyses | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

Further disruption to Middle Eastern oil supplies

On 10 September, following attacks by Iran-aligned forces and damage to infrastructure, Saudi Aramco shut down the East-West pipeline. On 15 September, reports emerged that a number of crude oil deliveries to European refineries scheduled…
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska, Filip Rudnik, Andrzej Kohut

US sanctions bill on Russia a political tool with uncertain prospects for implementation

On 16 September, the US House of Representatives passed a bill imposing sanctions on Russia, originally proposed by the late Senator Lindsey Graham. The vote completed the bill’s passage through Congress, and it now awaits the president’s…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Sławomir Matuszak, Jacek Tarociński

The Russians are launching an attack along the border with Poland Day 1665 of the war

Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Russia the second wave of the fuel crisis

Signs of a deepening fuel crisis have reappeared in Russia since August, with petrol shortages reported in many regions, alongside rising prices and queues at filling stations. The situation deteriorated after Ukraine intensified its…