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Analyses |
| Krzysztof Strachota, Marek Matusiak, Andrzej Kohut
Iran and the United States have reached an agreement on a two-week ceasefire, during which US armed forces will refrain from further attacks on Iranian territory, while Tehran will unblock transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The deal was…
Analyses |
| Marek Matusiak
The war between Israel and Lebanon-based Hezbollah, which began on 2 March, continues to escalate. Israel has been striking targets in southern and eastern Lebanon, as well as the group’s strongholds in the southern districts of Beirut.…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Strachota
Since 28 February, the United States and Israel have been carrying out attacks on Iran with the aim of neutralising its military capabilities and triggering the collapse of its political system. Although the two allies enjoy clear military…
Analyses |
| Kacper Sienicki
Ukraine’s response to the US-Israeli attack on Iran and Iran’s retaliatory moves against countries in the region, was to express clear support for the United States, citing the hostile actions of the Iranian regime towards Ukraine during…
Analyses |
| Agata Łoskot-Strachota
The war between the United States and Israel and Iran, now entering its second week, is increasingly affecting neighbouring the Gulf states that export oil. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which has been in place for several days, is…
Analyses |
| Łukasz Maślanka
In a speech delivered on 2 March at the strategic submarine base on Île Longue in Brittany, President Emmanuel Macron announced the launch of a transformation of France’s nuclear doctrine towards “forward deterrence” (dissuasion avancée)…
Analyses |
| OSW team
On 28 February, the armed forces of the United States and Israel launched a large-scale campaign of air strikes against Iran, codenamed Operation Epic Fury by the Pentagon and Lion’s Roar by the Israel Defense Forces. Its stated objective…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Kohut, Łukasz Maślanka, Marek Matusiak, Witold Rodkiewicz
On 22 January in Davos, representatives of 20 states signed the Charter of the Board of Peace established by Donald Trump (see Appendix). The concept of the board first appeared in a 20-point peace plan for Gaza presented by the United…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Strachota
The Iranian authorities have suppressed the largest wave of anti-regime protests since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. According to moderate estimates, around 13,000 demonstrators and approximately 500 members of the security forces were…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Strachota
Since 28 December 2025, Iran has witnessed nationwide, violent protests driven by social and political grievances. The unrest intensified on 8 January, when large-scale demonstrations were held in Tehran and other major cities, including…