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Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

… House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year … US armament and equipment to their militaries. The Trump administration intends the discontinuation of BSI … and other NATO members on the eastern flank that the Trump administration continues funding the European …
OSW Commentary | | Piotr Szymański

NATO summit in The Hague Trumps return and a two-component 5 of GDP on defence

The NATO summit in The Hague (24–25 June) – the first chaired by new Secretary General Mark Rutte – was minimalist in both form and content. It concluded with a record-low five-point declaration. This approach to a meeting of NATO heads of…
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Justyna Gotkowska, Tadeusz Iwański

New US peace plan pressure on Kyiv on Moscows conditions

… the US President’s envoy Steve Witkoff, and Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner. Dmitriev’s visit to … with Moscow’s unconstructive stance . After the Trump–Putin summit in Anchorage in August, Russia … . After his talks failed, he cancelled another planned Trump–Putin summit in Budapest, and on 22 October Trump …
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Konończuk

Year three of the war Russias hopes for victory and a crisis in transatlantic relations

… has brought a significant political shift with Donald Trump assuming the US presidency on 20 January 2025 and … due to a two-and-a-half-hour conversation between Trump and Polish President Andrzej Duda, held on 17 April in New York. Shortly after this meeting, Trump posted on social media: “Ukrainian survival and …
OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota

The EUs gas market in 2025 Russian gas new US policy and strategic uncertainties

… could also undermine the energy interests of Donald Trump’s administration by reducing European demand for … (most recently driven largely by actions taken by the Trump administration). Throughout most of the 2024/2025 … and exports remains a key priority for Donald Trump. In line with this agenda, one of his …
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Aleksandra Kozaczyńska

Agreement between CDUCSU and SPD on increasing defence and infrastructure spending

… uncertainty regarding the consequences of Donald Trump’s policies. His push to normalise relations with … States has suspended military aid to Ukraine following Trump’s widely criticised meeting with President … the new government’s position in negotiations with the Trump administration, which has criticised Germany for …
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło

Friedrich Merzs foreign policy – opening protocol

… within the EU, and improve relations with the Donald Trump administration. For this reason, the Chancellor is … the best possible personal relationship with President Trump. Despite his public commitment to strengthening … For this reason, Merz will seek to convince President Trump that German policy has changed in many of the …
Point of View | | Łukasz Maślanka

The patchwork defence union. Shifts in the EU’s security policy following the Russian invasion of Ukraine

… could shift depending on the policies of the Donald Trump administration. This paper puts forward a …
Analyses | | Michał Kędzierski

Derogation of Rosnefts German assets from US sanctions

… on Russia’s largest oil companies (for more, see: ‘ Trump’s first sanctions, the EU’s 19th sanctions …
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Karol Wasilewski

Barriers to a pragmatic policy towards Turkey Chancellor Merz in Ankara

… provided it fulfilled the conditions set out in Donald Trump’s peace plan, including its complete disarmament …