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Analyses | | Łukasz Maślanka

President Macron proposes a European defence initiative

… in the autumn and the possible victory of Donald Trump also form an important context for Macron’s … of some European countries (particularly Germany) that Trump will return and undermine the security guarantees … between some EU countries and the US in the event of Trump’s victory. An aspect that goes beyond the current …
Analyses | | Ilona Gizińska

Orbáns self-proclaimed peace mission at the beginning of Hungarys EU Council presidency

… his visit to the United States, he also met Donald Trump. Commentary Orbán is trying to pose as a … orientation. The message is also targeted at Donald Trump, as Budapest is betting on his victory in the US …
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Paulina Uznańska

De-risking can wait Scholzs visit to China

… the West. This scenario could materialise if Donald Trump wins the presidential race this year, as this … How Germany could react to a possible victory for Trump ’ ). …
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak

Kremlin escalates threats against the West

… in anticipation of peace negotiations that the Donald Trump administration is seeking to initiate. …
Analyses | | Jakub Graca, Filip Rudnik

The new US supplemental bill on Ukraine and the threat to confiscate Russian assets

… US assistance to Ukraine could prove costly for Donald Trump and the Republicans ahead of the November elections; Trump himself had expressed his tacit approval for … issues. Another important factor is that Donald Trump, who is effectively the leader of the Republican …
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło

An attempt to break the deadlock Scholz visits Washington

… Berlin is concerned that a victory for Donald Trump could destabilise transatlantic cooperation and … the uncertainty of US security guarantees following Trump’s potential victory, and repeated appeals to …
Analyses | | Maria Domańska, Piotr Żochowski, Witold Rodkiewicz

Major East–West prisoner exchange

… suggested that Moscow would prefer to see Donald Trump as the US leader. This shift may suggest that the Kremlin fears Trump’s unpredictability and is no longer confident that …
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Marek Menkiszak, Lidia Gibadło

Enhancing deterrence in Europe a return to intermediate-range missiles

… United State, with the process initiated during Donald Trump’s administration. By 2028, the US Army will … the announced decisions might be modified following Trump’s victory in the US presidential election. Thus, …
Analyses | | Krzysztof Nieczypor

Zelensky unveils the Victory Plan

… (including the US presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris). Consequently, Zelensky will …
Analyses | | Piotr Szymański, Jacek Tarociński

Denmark breakthrough on defence spending

… in July, and the possibility of a victory for Donald Trump in this year’s US presidential election. For …